PropBetGuy

PropBetGuy
Role
Contributor
Experience
14 years
Location
New Jersey
Total Bets
4K
Followers
51.9K

Prop Bet Guy's Picks

Today
A.Heaney u16.5 Outs-110
LAA
LAA Team Abbreviation
0
-
0
TEX Team Abbreviation
TEX
1.1u
Top 2nd
Heaney is under this line in 5/8 starts. 3.9 pitches per PA matches up nicely for the under with the Angels who are at 3.94. Heaney has also really struggled the third time through the order (opps are 9/25 with a .854 OPS), and the Rangers bullpen is incredibly rested. Lefty starters are under this line in 5/7 games vs LAA, with a collective 6.36 ERA and 44 H + 10 BB in 35.1 IP.
43
9
J.Hart o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
NYK
NYK Team Abbreviation@IND Team Abbreviation
IND
1.15u
05/18 12:30 AM
Hart has cleared this line in 4/5 games this series (and 8/11 in the playoffs), with the one miss being the game where the Pacers blew the Knicks out. That was a game where Brunson did look 100%, and the Pacers were able to guard him 1 on 1 the most part. After Brunson’s elite performance in game 5, the Pacers will inevitably be more aggressive with their coverage/double teams. Whether that means Siakam doubling or rotating off Turner’s double, Hart will be left open in this one, since the Pacers won’t help off DDV. Whether it’s catch and shoot opportunities or drives, I see Hart with another 14ish shot attempts and 10 potential assists. And you can bet another emphasis for Indy will be boxing out Hartenstein on the offensive glass - I like Hart to grab a few more oREB in this one.
82
14
M.Turner u26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
NYK
NYK Team Abbreviation@IND Team Abbreviation
IND
1.15u
05/18 12:30 AM
Over his last 56 mins of floor time, Turner has taken only 7 2P shots (and only 4 within 8 feet). The Knicks have stayed close to him on the PnR, almost daring Hali to finish at the bucket. And with the Knicks going small last game, Turner was used more to clear out so the Pacers could try to exploit Siakam vs Hart in the post. Turner is very capable at hitting his threes, but even if he shoots slightly above avg, I don’t see him getting enough volume. He’s also been terrible on the boards, and there is a world where Jackson gets more mins to solidify the Pacers rebounding. Under in 3/5 this series.
42
9
Pending
Tyler Glasnow (LAD) to record the win-115
1.15u
Going to double up on Glasnow tonight - love the matchup. Reds don’t hit power pitchers well at all (34% K%, and a .637 OPS). Reds also going with a bullpen day: Brent Suter and Nick Martinez (on 3 days rest). Both are righties, and the Dodgers mash righties at home: 142 wRC+ and a .833 OPS. Dodgers are -360 on the F5 line, and have a bullpen advantage as well.
34
13
Yankees over 3.5 F7 team total-125
1.25u
Yankees are swinging a hot bat: 145 wRC+, .847 OPS, .197 ISO over the L2 weeks vs righties (all lead baseball). And have been great at home vs righties all season: 130 wRC+, .777 OPS. .184 ISO. Now they get a replacement level pitcher (Clevinger) and a bottom barrel bullpen.
22
7
J.Means o4.5 Ks-120
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation
2
-
5
BAL Team Abbreviation
BAL
1.2u
Bot 5th
Has looked good in his first two starts: 8 and 3 Ks with 15 and 9 whiffs - the latter game against Arizona, which is a brutal K matchup for a lefty. SEA with a 26% K% vs lefties (2nd highest mark), and they are 20th in RAA per 100 changeups seen - Means’ put away pitch. 8/10 lefty starters have hit this line vs SEA in full starts.
76
16
2-WAY PARLAY+127
1u
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-props-james-paxton-chris-bassitt-have-value-friday-may-17
C.Bassitt o4.5 Ks-260
TB
TB Team Abbreviation
0
-
0
TOR Team Abbreviation
TOR
Bot 5th
J.Paxton u5.5 Ks-157
CIN
CIN Team Abbreviation@LAD Team Abbreviation
LAD
05/18 2:10 AM
40
9
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday2-1-067%
0.92u
Last 7 Days14-12-054%
2.39u
Last 30 Days73-84-146%
-17.92u
All Time2108-1904-3652%
40.72u
Top Leagues
NFL344-266-156%
54.49u
NCAAB336-245-457%
51.64u
NCAAF43-37-153%
0.57u
MLB646-641-1250%
-23.39u
NBA739-713-1850%
-40.30u

Summary

PropBetGuy contributes written content for the Action Network focused around his daily player prop bets.

He first started betting over a decade ago, and has been providing his picks with analysis on Twitter/X since 2020 (@propbetguy). 

He’s contributed written content for various outlets since 2020 before joining Action Network in 2021. 

Experience

PropBetGuy started out as a casual bettor, mainly focusing on game sides and totals, before unearthing his love for player props.

Now betting player props almost exclusively for almost a decade, PropBetGuy took to social media to post his picks and detailed analyses in the beginning of 2020.

Priding himself on long-term success and transparency, he’s considered one of the first movers in the single unit prop betting corner of Twitter/X.

Since taking his picks public, he’s appeared on various local and national outlets, including VSiN and ESPN Radio. 

Education

Bachelor's and Master's degrees from Binghamton University 

On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
DeAndre Hopkins catching a Hail Mary while being triple-teamed to cash his reception prop.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Too many worst beats to count, but losing a Josh Allen rushing attempts prop by one because the Bills sent out Trubisky to kneel it out really stands out.
Specialties
  • NFL props
  • NBA props
  • MLB props