Amanda Serrano vs Danila Ramos Odds
You could make a credible argument that Amanda Serrano (45-2-1, 30 KOs) is among the greatest pound-for-pound boxers ever.
Currently, she's the undisputed featherweight champion of the world, is the only woman and Puerto Rican to win world titles in more than four weight classes, and she has won nine major world championships across seven different weight classes.
It's only right that Serrano is starring in the first 12-round, three-minute round title bout contested by women – equal to a typical title fight between men – since 2007. It's also the first women's unified title fight ever fought under these rules.
This week Serrano, who turned 35 in October, will venture to Orlando, Florida – which has a huge Puerto Rican population – to defend her WBO, WBA and IBF titles against contender Danila Ramos (12-2, 1 KO) of Brazil. The WBC won't sanction the bout out of "safety" concerns.
Regardless, this Friday night (8 p.m. ET, DAZN), we have a history-making encounter spotlighting an all-timer who is no stranger to the male-dominated record books.
Serrano vs Ramos Fight Analysis
I kinda liken Serrano to Canelo Alvarez in a couple of different ones. One primary comparison worth drawing is that Serrano won't have the physical advantage over her as she's aged and moved up in weight.
That said, she's still very much in her prime, even if it's likely the tail end of it due to mileage.
Serrano debuted in 2009, and while she's won titles from super flyweight to junior welterweight, she's always been at her best in and around the featherweight division while at nearly 5-foot-6 with a 66-inch reach. Ramos stands 5-foot-6 exactly, slightly taller than Serrano, and she has a nearly 70-inch reach.
Serrano's hallmark, like Alvarez's, has been her ability to apply smart pressure in the ring against opponents who elect to fight on the outside, breaking down taller and longer fighters attempting to wisely use their length and box.
It's a tactic we should expect Ramos to utilize because of her reach and lack of power. Ramos' only knockout victory was against someone named Paula Vieira da Silva, who had been making her debut and never fought again. That was in 2017 – Ramos' third career fight.
The historic main event between @Serranosisters and Danila Ramos is OFFICIAL 💪
Watch all the action from #SerranoRamos tomorrow on DAZN 🥊 pic.twitter.com/eWc3Mvz62u
— DAZN Boxing (@DAZNBoxing) October 26, 2023
Her two losses against Elhem Mekhaled and Katharina Thanderz, both undefeated, both in 2019 and in both instances, Ramos fought for the WBC interim super featherweight title.
Serrano's lost only once since 2012, and that was famously (and controversially) to Katie Taylor by split decision while challenging for the undisputed lightweight title at Madison Square Garden in April 2022.
Serrano's a perfect 3-0 since, all wide unanimous decisions, mostly recently toppling fellow Brooklynite Heather Hardy on points in August.
Ramos most recently defeated contender Brenda Carbajal via split decision in an away game in Argentina, where Ramos was knocked down in Round 4. Carbajal, at one point, was scheduled to fight Serrano in August of 2022 following the loss to Taylor.
Overall, Serrano is just immensely better than Ramos, and her winning is how – and potentially when – not if, to me.
Serrano vs Ramos Pick
It's fairly amazing that Serrano has 30 knockouts, considering that she's had only two-minute rounds, and often 10 or fewer rounds, to accumulate such a mark.
Needless to say, given her skill, her pressure, her stamina and toughness, I think the longer rounds will be beneficial for her.
Remember, men's title fights are typically 12 x 3, which makes for 36-minute bouts. Women, comparatively, get only 20 minutes – hence why you get far fewer knockouts.
But in this scenario, I think it benefits Serrano, and I see her getting the KO/TKO victory, which is worth a bet. Serrano by KO/TKO is +110 at FanDuel as of this writing. However, that line is already worsening at other sportsbooks, so it's probably better to grab this one sooner rather than later.
Anyway, that is my primary bet and what I deem the most likely outcome.
The variables that refrain me from taking a specific group round betting stoppage are twofold: One, an amped-up Serrano getting the early stoppage in front of a crowd that'll be about 100% in her corner isn't something worth dismissing. And two, the +136 odds are good enough for me.
Other bets I like in this fight are as follows:
- Serrano in Rounds 7-12 at +185 (FanDuel), as of this writing. The stoppage is likely later than it is earlier, so I'm likely playing this as well, but probably with a half unit or so because I'll probably put a full unit on the general KO/TKO.
- Serrano in Rounds 9-12 at +310 (FanDuel). Again, if we get a stoppage, it's likely that it's later than it is earlier. However, I'd make this only a quarter-unit sprinkle or so.
- Will the fight go to distance – No, which is -102 (FanDuel). Might as well pop this one in here, too, since I'm backing the KO.
As always, enjoy the fight, and don't go broke!
