Caesars has Jake Paul as a -210 favorite ($21 bet pays $10). Tyron Woodley is +170 ($10 bet pays $17). Those odds give Paul about a 65% chance of winning, with the vig removed, and most sportsbooks have him as an even bigger favorite.
| Fighter | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | -210 | 64.8% |
| Tyron Woodley | +170 | 35.2% |
Caesars also has a variety of props to bet, including Paul to win by KO, TKO or DQ at -120 ($12 bet wins $10) and Paul to win in the first round at +600 ($10 bet wins $60).
The over/under for rounds is 3.5, with slight juice on the under at -125. The fight is scheduled for eight rounds, so the betting market is expecting it to end in a knockout or TKO.
Paul will make his return to the boxing ring when he fights former UFC star Woodley on Sunday night. Jake's brother Logan fought Floyd Mayweather to a draw in an unsanctioned fight in June. Jake knocked out former MMA fighter Ben Askren in the first round of an April fight, his first against an opponent with real combat experience. Woodley is a longtime teammate and friend of Askren, which setup this fight.
Now, Jake Paul turns his attention to the 39-year-old Woodley, who was the UFC welterweight champion just over two years ago and was once considered the best ever in his weight class. He lost his belt to Kamaru Usman in March of 2019, and dropped his next three fights before his contract expired earlier this year.
How Do I Bet Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley?
Paul vs. Woodley is sanctioned by Ohio's boxing commission, so bets are allowed. That was not the case for Logan Paul vs. Floyd Mayweather, when the FSBC did not sanction the fight because of the difference in skill between the two fighters. No sanction, no bets.
Here's how to bet the fight:
- Figure out if you're in a legal betting state
- Find a sportsbook (PointsBet is giving away $200 for free)
- Navigate to the boxing menu
- Find the Boxing section
- Click the odds next to the fighter your want to bet
- Enter your bet amount in the bet slip
Most legal American sportsbooks have the fight listed, with Paul anywhere from -190 to -220. Learn more about American odds here.
Here's how it looks on FanDuel. Simply click -205 if you want to bet Paul, +156 if you want to bet Woodley, or "More wagers" to see other available props, like Paul by KO or the fight to go to a decision.
Rules & Format
This cruiserweight fight will be fought at 190 pounds, which is technically a step up from Woodley's UFC career. He fought at 170, though he probably weighs closer to 190 in real life, so it's actually a slight benefit for him that he doesn't have to cut much weight.
The rules for this bout will be pretty standard since its a sanctioned, bet-able fight:
- Eight rounds
- Fought at 190 pounds
- 20x20 ring size
- 10 ounce gloves
Our Picks
There's a few ways to target this fight if you believe Woodley is truly a step up in class for Paul, who still hasn't beaten anyone with a pulse in the boxing ring.
Erich Richter and Malik Smith broke down the fight below and suggest taking a look at:
- Over 3.5 rounds
- Fight to go to decision +600
- Woodley by decision +2000
