Gervonta Davis vs Frank Martin Odds, Pick & Prediction: KO Bet for Amazon Prime PPV (Saturday, June 15)

Gervonta Davis vs Frank Martin Odds

Here's everything you need to know about the Gervonta Davis vs Frank Martin odds for Saturday, June 15.

It's Gervonta Davis' long-awaited return to boxing, and he has a legitimate test across the ring.

Davis (29-0, 27 KOs) will defend his WBA lightweight title against Errol Spence's fighter, Frank Martin (18-0, 12 KOs), in the headliner of tonight's Amazon Prime PPV event (cost: $74.95).

And both fighters are coming off significant inactivity.

Davis is in the ring for the first time since his high-profile seventh-round stoppage win over silly-ass Ryan Garcia, who beat Devin Haney while overweight after getting popped for steroids, and who just got arrested last week for felony vandalism.

That fight was in April 2023.

Martin "beat" Artem Harutyunyan last July by unanimous decision, but those of us who watched that fight know it was a bad decision. Martin getting a unanimous decision win was one thing, but man, he straight-up could've lost that fight. It was very close.

Martin scored a 12th-round knockdown, and if not for that, he would've won a majority decision if all three judges thought he'd have won the round otherwise.

Harutyunyan made enough of an impression that he'll fight Shakur Stevenson for his WBC lightweight title next month in New Jersey.

Oh, and one more thing: How is Tank still the WBA champion after being out of the ring for over a year and not even defending his title against Garcia in April since that was at a catchweight? Davis hasn't actually defended the title since January 2023.

But, yanno, boxing gon' boxing.

Anyway, the fight.

Here's my Davis vs. Martin pick and prediction for Saturday.

Davis vs. Martin Breakdown & Preview

Tank Davis, per usual, has the height and reach disadvantage, though – per usual – it might not matter.

Davis is 5-foot-5 with a 67.5-inch reach. Martin is 5-foot-8 with a 68-inch reach.

You wanna know why I don't care? Because I've seen Tank fight. And what he doesn't get enough credit for his ring IQ.

His power is obvious. He's a lightweight Deontay Wilder with world-class boxing ability. He's super cerebral and studies his opponents – which is why he starts off slow and is occasionally trailing on scorecards when knocking out opponents. He's a great counterpuncher. He sets traps for his opponents and baits them into rolling straight into his left uppercut. He's an excellent body puncher when he commits. Etc., etc.

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Height and reach don't matter in Tank fights.

Martin is very good, though.

Martin is skilled, he's a very good counterpuncher, and he's cerebral in his own right. He's almost too methodical, which could hurt him in a Tank fight. Someone who beats Tank would need to have volume, a chin, speed, enough power and elite footwork.

Martin has some but not all of those things.

Martin's coming-out party was against Michel Ali Rivera in a hyped prospect vs. prospect bout in December 2022. Martin won about every round and knocked down Rivera once.

Davis vs. Martin Prediction & Pick

To me, I'd be shocked if Davis lost this.

I have a fairly high regard for Martin's skill set and think he's one of the better contenders in the division, but Tank is Tank. Davis at 135 is close to unbeatable in the ring if he's focused. My battle here is method of victory.

I looked real hard at Davis by decision at +300, and the reason I'm not playing it even though Martin has never been dropped is that against Tank, it doesn't always matter.

You almost have to bet Tank like he's Deontay Wilder. He has two decision victories. One was against Isaac Cruz in December 2021. Tank won that fight with a broken hand. If not for that, I think he may have stopped Cruz, and because he didn't, Cruz has become a fan-favorite knockout artist who is probably closer to overrated than most want to admit.

His other decision was in 2014 against a journeyman whom he knocked down twice. If it weren't a six-rounder, he might've stopped him too.

In any event, my lean is Davis by KO/TKO between Rounds 7-12 at +135 odds on DraftKings, which is still available on fight day. I obviously like Davis by KO/TKO at -175, but I think I'm getting more value – with a bigger payout – with this extra risk.

The Pick: Gervonta Davis in Round 7-12 (+135 at DraftKings)

Benavidez vs. Gvozdyk, Matias vs. Paro Odds & Bonus Picks

Let's briefly hit on this one because it's the co-feature for Davis vs. Martin. If David Benavidez were fighting someone you all knew, this would track better, but alas, we're lucky to have him on this particular card at all.

Benavidez (-650) will be in his light heavyweight debut fighting for an interim WBC title against Oleksandr Gvozdyk (+450), whom Artur Beterbiev knocked out in Round 10 of their October bout. I think Benavidez gets this done late, but I like the over more. I'll take Benavidez vs. Gvozdyk Over 8.5 rounds in this bout on FanDuel at -142.

Also on Saturday night, we have Subriel Matias (-800) vs. Liam Paro (+520), who are fighting in Puerto Rico live on DAZN (7:30 p.m. ET main card)

You can make a legitimate argument that Matias is the most dangerous man in boxing. The IBF super lightweight world champion is making the second defense of his title when he meets Australia's Paro.

Matias has knocked out everyone he's ever fought – including an avenged loss to Petros Ananyan.

According to Compubox, Matias lands the most punches per round (26.1) and is first by a wide margin throwing 77.3 punches per round. He's basically throwing more than 25 punches per minute.

Per round, he's landing 20.6 power punches – also the most in the division – which means fewer than six of his landed punches are jabs. Overall, he's connecting on 38% of his power shots, which is seventh. But again, he throws the most by far.

I'll lean on Matias by KO/TKO between Rounds 5-8 at +170 on FanDuel. It seems risky, but we need value and a decent payoff in this fight. Matias has gotten five of his last six wins in this range.