Jaime Munguia vs. Erik Bazinyan Odds
| Munguia Odds | -1400 |
| Bazinyan Odds | +750 |
| Over/Under | 8.5 (-125/-110) |
| Location | Desert Diamond Arena – Glendale, Arizona |
| Time (Main Card) | 10 p.m. ET |
| Main Event Walkouts | Approx. 11:55 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
| Odds as of Wednesday night and via DraftKings. Bet on Munguia vs. Bazinyan with our DraftKings promo code! | |
Here's everything you need to know about the Jaime Munguia vs. Erik Bazinyan odds for Friday, September 20.
This is an interesting fight for unconventional reasons.
Munguia is, of course, right back in the ring after losing a unanimous decision to Canelo Alvarez in May.
Bazinyan is out of his Montreal shell and crossing the border for an Arizona showdown against the Mexican star and hoping a win will firmly put him on the map.
Munguia (43-1, 34 KOs) and Bazinyan (32-0-1, 23 KOs) are both viewed as top of the line contenders in this quietly loaded super middleweight division. And, if we're being honest, both are youngish and talented, but have inflated records.
Here's my Munguia vs. Bazinyan pick and prediction for Friday night on ESPN+.
Bryan Fonseca's Breakdown & Analysis
Munguia is 6-feet with a 72-inch reach and 11 years of experience. He'll turn 28 years old on October 6.
Bazinyan, who has similar attributes, has dealt with similar scrutiny to Munguia in his career.
Despite him havingan impressive record at 29 years old, he hasn't so much as sniffed a world title opportunity because of favorable matchmaking. He's won NABF, NABA and NABO Super Middleweight titles, but has never competed for a world title.
Currently, he's ranked in the top seven by three of the four governing bodies.
Munguia has at least been a world champion and fought opposition people have heard of — beyond Alvarez, there's Sergiy Derevyanchenko, Gabriel Rosado, Sadam Ali, Liam Smith and John Ryder. Been even so, he doesn't have the resume you'd think, which explains the record. Munguia has only been a world title holder at 154 pounds, but had been coming off, arguably, his two best wins (TKO vs Ryder and decision vs Derevyanchencko) before the loss to Alvarez.
This is a fraud check fight for Bazinyan, and honestly, that also applies for Munguia, because a loss would be catastrophic to his career.
Bazinyan could get knocked out of the title picture, but after being on our radar, he could go back to fighting in the Montreal Casino until he's called in to fight another up and comer, or a contender in this weight class.
Munguia? If he, as a -1,200 favorite, drops this fight with a home-field advantage and a main event on ESPN centered around his reinvention, that'd be a disaster.
Munguia vs. Bazinyan Prediction & Pick
I don't feel amazing about backing Munguia, but — at the very least — he's much better than Bazinyan on the surface … or, it at least appears that way.
Bazinyan is clearly skilled, but how skilled is tough to determine. Generally, he walks down smaller opponents, bullies them and dictates terms. He also usually fights at home, which explains the absolute gift he received in his last fight.
Bazinyan should've lost to little-known Shakeel Phinn in May, a fight he was a -550 favorite for, and was gifted a majority draw, with one judging having it 97-93 for Phinn, one 96-94 for Bazinyan and one 95-95 even.
Munguia has his flaws, but he'd destroy Phinn. Maybe it wasn't Bazinyan's night, but his body of work just isn't that impressive given his ranking.
Munguia is far from a guy you'd generally want to bet the house on, but I feel he'll stop Bazinyan here. Bazinyan wants to come forward and fight, but we'll see if he'll do so after eating body shots from Munguia.
My favorite option to play this fight is for Munguia to win by KO/TKO, which is only as short as -270 at places like DraftKings. As a result, that's better used as a parlay leg, in my opinion.
My favorite individual bet is Munguia to win and score over 1.5 knockdowns at +135. I'm not putting everything I have on it, but it's a juicy number and Munguia has recorded multiple knockdowns in three of his past four wins. He was heavily favored in those, too.
Munguia vs. Bazinyan Pick: Jaime Munguia to Win by KO/TKO as a Parlay Leg (-270 on DraftKings)
Lean: Jaime Munguia to Win and Score Over 1.5 Knockdowns (+135 on DraftKings)
