Jake Paul vs Mike Perry Odds, Pick: Easy Bet as Boxing Circus Continues
Esther Lin/MVP. Pictured: Boxers Jake Paul and Mike Perry at weigh-ins
Jake Paul vs Mike Perry Odds, Pick
Paul Odds | -475 |
Perry Odds | +335 |
Over/Under | 6.5 (-110 / -125) |
Location | Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida |
Time (Main Card) | 9 p.m. ET |
Main Event Walkouts | Approx 11:55 p.m. ET |
TV | DAZN PPV (cost: $64.99) |
Boxing odds as of Saturday and via ESPN BET. Bet on Paul vs. Perry with our ESPN BET promo code! |
Here's everything you need to know about the Jake Paul vs Mike Perry odds for this unique boxing main event on Saturday, July 20.
Tonight was supposed to be Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson.
On some level, thank God it isn't. Although, I'm not sure how much better this matchmaking is other than age.
Paul (9-1, 6 KOs) is taking on "Platinum" Mike Perry in Tyson's place in tonight's pay-per-view main event on DAZN (9 p.m. ET). Tyson is expected to fight Paul in November, but the anticipation of this fight night is still palpable.
And what we're not expecting is for Perry to derail those plans, even if he wins.
Perry (0-1, 0 KOs) stepped up on short notice, and the UFC and Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship vet surely will get the payday of his life, if nothing else.
Here's my Paul vs. Perry pick and prediction for tonight.
Paul vs. Perry Pick & Analysis
This is Jake Paul, who continually improves as a boxer, picking on yet another former MMA fighter in Perry who doesn't have much of a boxing background to speak of.
Perry's one loss in his lone boxing match was in May 2015 – nearly 10 years ago. It was to a … journeyman? Club fighter? Prospect? The guy's name is Kenneth McNeil, who before his win over Perry, was 6-1 with three KO victories against fighters you've never heard of. Perry now has a boxing match against Jake Paul, someone everyone has heard of.
The six wins came against foes with a combined 19-31-5 record with eight stoppages. McNeil is now 13-5 with 10 KOs, for what it's worth.
Perry's loss, by the way, was a fourth-round KO to McNeil, who hit him with an overhand right, a punch Paul's won with in his career.
On that note, God, Perry's hands are lowwwww in a bunch of his fights. Paul could jab him to death, use his movement, and throw his right hand behind as the night goes, and that'll be the end.
Perry, to his credit, has excelled in the bare-knuckle BKFC promotion, where he's 5-0 with three knockouts, including stoppages of Luke Rockhold, Thiago Alves and Eddie Alvarez – other MMA notables – and he also has a majority decision BKFC win over former Bellator contender Michael "Venom" Page.
Paul will have height (6-foot-1 to 5-foot-10), reach (76 inches to 71) and age (27 to 32) advantages in what is scheduled to be a cruiserweight fight.
The cruiserweight limit in boxing is 200 pounds, and Paul has weighed in at the limit (199 plus) in each of his last two fights after initially hovering between roughly 183 and 191 pounds. In BKFC, the weight limits mirror mixed martial arts, which is to say, Perry – who last competed at light heavyweight in April – has weighed in at 175 and 185 pounds (middleweight and light heavyweight – the latter more recently) for his bouts in the bare-knuckle promotion.
Paul is naturally bigger – and, well, did you think his team would have Perry take the fight if this weren't the case?
Paul's previous opponents include Tommy Fury, against whom Paul landed a significant number of shots, showcasing his boxing ability. Additionally, Paul landed numerous shots against Nate Diaz, further highlighting his boxing style and potential performance in upcoming fights.
Paul vs. Perry Prediction & Pick
Method-of-victory props went live on Tuesday, and I immediately took Paul to win by KO/TKO at -125 on DraftKings. However, at the time of this writing, you can now get an even better price at BetMGM (-110) or bet365 (-120), though I don't expect those prices to last.
I think this is a no-question Paul stoppage, and I expect the line to lose value as the week progresses, so I'll say that I'd bet this even if it's at 2-1 odds (-200). If you want more value, I'd eye a stoppage early between Rounds 1-5, though I'm more confident in the straight-up stoppage.
I think Perry's BKFC resume is legit. His UFC resume – 11 knockouts across 14 wins – also highlights his power. Perry is an intriguing wild card and there may be something to backing Perry. However, I'm still going to bet on Paul.
However, this is boxing, and it's just a different discipline. BKFC has no gloves, for example, and I think Paul would be less of a favorite in that particular arena. As Paul has already proven, boxing in the MMA octagon doesn't translate to boxing in the squared circle as much as people would think, and Paul is a trained boxer at this point. Not an amazing one, and the matchmaking on his side has been very strategic, to say the least – but that's every other A-side boxer, too.
I still think this is a circus, but it works, so here we are. And, as far as I'm concerned, it'll only grow until at least November – then we'll have some fun … or not.
Enjoy the fights and don't go broke!
The Pick: Jake Paul by KO/TKO/technical decision/DQ (-110 at BetMGM)
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