Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds Tracker: Paul -225 as Fight Draws Closer

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds Tracker: Paul -225 as Fight Draws Closer article feature image
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Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds (Updated 10:11 p.m. ET)

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+18034.44%
Jake Paul-22565.56%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday at 10:11 p.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator to calculate your payouts.

Jake Paul odds to defeat Mike Tyson have moved, from -250 to -225. Most sportsbooks have stood pat around -250 after Tyson money pushed Paul down south of -200 on Thursday before a flood of money moved the line back up on Friday.

Most legal sportsbooks are offering odds on this fight (they don't always for these celebrity/YouTuber matches). But some states are not permitting it. FanDuel, DraftKings and other sportsbooks in states like New York, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Connecticut cannot offer it due to gaming regulators feeling uncomfortable about its legitimacy.

If you're not in a legal betting state or your state is not offering this fight at your normal sportsbooks, you can use a DFS site or a social sportsbook to play this fight:

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds (Updated 5:50 p.m. ET)

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+19032.56%
Jake Paul-25067.44%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday at 5:50 p.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator to calculate your payouts.

We're still stuck on -250 for Jake Paul, with little movement throughout the afternoon at BetMGM. Most sportsbooks have stood pat around that number after Tyson money pushed Paul down south of -200 on Thursday before a flood of money moved the line back up on Friday.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds (Updated 4:30 p.m. ET)

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+19032.56%
Jake Paul-25067.44%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday at 4:30 p.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator to calculate your payouts.

We're still stuck on -250/+190 in Paul's favor at BetMGM, implying he has about a 67% chance to win. Those lines mean a $10 bet on Tyson would pay $19 (plus your $10 back). A $25 bet on Paul would pay $10 in profit, plus your $25 back.

At FanDuel, Paul is up to -245, which has been steadily climbing all day. They've been a bit behind BetMGM in moving the line in Paul's direction. Most American books are pricing this fight around -245 or -250.

Odds Updated at 3:15 p.m. ET

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+19032.56%
Jake Paul-25067.44%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator to calculate your payouts.

We haven't had any movement on the two-way moneyline in the last hour, with Paul holding firm at -250, and Tyson at +190.

Odds Updated 12:30 p.m. ET

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+19032.56%
Jake Paul-25067.44%%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday at 12:30 p.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator.

This line continues trending in Jake Paul's direction — after getting as low as -190 on Thursday night at BetMGM, he's climbed all the way back to -250, where he was earlier in the week. A steady wave of Mike Tyson action several days ago (90%+ of the tickets are on Tyson) moved the line from Paul -275 to around -200.

Odds Updated 11 a.m. ET

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+17534.44%
Jake Paul-22565.56%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday morning at 11 a.m. ET. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed.

We have our first significant line move of the morning, with Paul moving from -200 to -225 at BetMGM, representing about a 2% increase in probability that he wins. He's up to -230 at bet365. Paul remains -205 at FanDuel, one of the best prices among major American sportsbooks on Friday morning.

Odds Updated 9:15 a.m. ET

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+16036.59%
Jake Paul-20063.41%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday morning. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed.

Jake Paul remains a -200 favorite over Mike Tyson about 14 hours before the fight. The line has moved in Tyson's favor for most of the week, but has been stagnant since Thursday night.

Paul actually began this week as a bigger favorite, but his price has come down over the last few days as money pours in on Tyson.

Odds Updated 8 a.m. ET

FighterOdds to WinChance to Win
Mike Tyson+16036.59%
Jake Paul-20063.41%

Odds via BetMGM on Friday morning. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed.

"Meme fight" or not — Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson promises to bring tons of eyeballs, and tons of betting action, too.

As of Friday morning, Paul is about a -200 favorite against Tyson, depending on the sportsbook. That means a $20 wager would win $10 (plus your $20 back). A $10 bet on Tyson at +160 would pay $16 in profit, plus your $10 back. If you're unsure what the means, learn more about American odds.

What Other Props Are Available?

At BetMGM, DraftKings and other legal U.S. operators, you can bet a number of props, including:

  • Method of victory (Paul by KO/TKO/DQ is +150)
  • Total knockdowns o/u 2.5 (over +500, under -900)
  • Will the fight go the distance (+150 yes, -200 no)
  • Three-way line with a draw included, meaning you'd lose on the draw (unless you bet it at +900)

Fight Rules

Part of the reason why some states are not allowing bets on this fight is because of the rule changes. The fighters will wear 14-ounce gloves instead of the traditional 10-ounce, and the rounds will be 2 minutes instead of 3 minutes. The full rules:

  • Knockouts are allowed
  • Officially sanctioned as a professional fight.
  • 2-minute rounds
  • 8 rounds total
  • No headgear
  • 14-ounce gloves

Where Can I Bet Tyson vs. Paul?

There are three legal options to bet this fight.

1. Traditional online sportsbooks: Operators like DraftKings and FanDuel are live in 20+ states, with operators like bet365 in 10+ states. Some states like New Jersey have almost 20 sportsbook options; others like Oregon, New Hampshire or Rhode Island have just 1-2.

2. DFS Pick'em: DFS pick'em is a new form of daily fantasy sports that isn't based on a salary cap, but instead requires you to build a lineup based on player stats. So for this fight, you can choose stats like total punches landed, fight time, total knockdowns, etc., and put them together for a bigger payout.

3. Sweepstakes sportsbooks: These platforms look like a traditional sportsbook but the mechanism to get money on the platform is different. You make a purchase, are gifted an on-site currency, and then can make picks with that on-site currency.

Fliff (available in 40+ states) is the leader in this space; Rebet and Thrillzz are also options, depending on where you're located.

StateTrad.SweepsDFS
AlabamaNoYesNo
AlaskaNoYesYes
ArizonaYesYesYes
ArkansasYesYesYes
CaliforniaNoYesYes
ColoradoNoYesYes
ConnecticutNoYesNo
DelawareNoYesNo
DCYesYesYes
FloridaYesYesNo
GeorgiaNoYesYes
HawaiiNoYesNo
IdahoNoNoNo
IllinoisYesYesYes
IndianaYesYesYes
IowaYesYesNo
KansasYesYesYes
KentuckyNoYesYes
LouisianaNoYesNo
MaineYesYesNo
MarylandNoYesNo
Mass.YesYesYes
MichiganYesNoNo
MinnesotaNoYesYes
MississippiNoYesNo
MissouriNoYesNo
MontanaNoNoNo
NebraskaNoYesYes
NevadaYesNoNo
New HampshireYesYesNo
New JerseyYesYesNo
New MexicoNoYesYes
New YorkNoYesNo
North CarolinaYesYesYes
North DakotaNoYesYes
OhioYesYesNo
OklahomaNoYesYes
OregonYesYesYes
PennsylvaniaNoYesNo
Rhode IslandYesYesYes
South CarolinaNoYesYes
South DakotaNoYesYes
TennesseeYesYesNo
TexasNoYesYes
UtahNoYesYes
VermontYesYesYes
VirginiaYesYesYes
WashingtonNoYesNo
West VirginiaYesYesNo
WisconsinNoYesYes
WyomingYesYesYes
About the Author
Steve is the Commercial Content Director for Action Network and Better Collective US. He previously served as Action's lead editor and college sports editor. Based in New Jersey, he's tested every sportsbook product on the U.S. market.

Follow Steven Petrella @steve_petrella on Twitter/X.

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