Man City vs. Inter Milan Prediction, Pick, Odds for Champions League Wednesday

Man City vs. Inter Milan Prediction, Pick, Odds for Champions League Wednesday article feature image
Credit:

James Gill/Getty. Pictured: Erling Haaland.

Man City will be playing their first match in the 2024-25 Champions League season against a familiar opponent: Inter Milan. These two teams met each other in the 2022-23 Champions League final, where City were victorious and cemented their status as Europe’s mightiest squad. You can watch this Inter Milan vs. Man City Champions League fixture at the Etihad at Paramount+, Youtube TV, Fubo and other streaming platforms.

Man City come into this fixture at -230 on the moneyline, while Inter Milan are a whopping +600. A draw is priced at 320, and the over/under is juiced slightly to the over 2.5 at -166.

The Cityzens have started their year in the Premier League how everyone would have expected, four wins in four matches. With no clear end in sight for the dominance Manchester City have had in the footballing world, this appears to be another 90-point season in the making.

Inter Milan have also had a good start to their season in Serie A. Remaining unbeaten with two wins and two draws, Simone Inzaghi and his team look to become back-to-back champions of Serie A, a feat that hasn’t been done by Inter since the 2009-10 season.

Let'd dive into my Man City vs. Inter Milan picks and my Champions League predictions for this Wednesday match.

Man City vs. Inter Milan Odds, Picks, Prediction

Man City  Logo
Wednesday, Sep 18
3 p.m. ET
Paramount+
Inter Milan Logo
Man City Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-0.5
-230
2.5
105o / -130u
-230
Inter Milan Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+0.5
+180
2.5
-166o / +130u
+600
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute CHAMPIONS odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Man City vs. Inter Milan moneyline odds: Man City -230, Inter +600, Draw +320
  • Man City vs. Inter Milan over/under: 2.5 goals (over -166, under +130)
  • Man City vs. Inter Milan pick: Under

I am backing the under 2.5 in Inter Milan vs Man City, as well as a prop selection.

Champions League Picks, Predictions, Odds for Man City vs Inter Milan, Monaco vs Barcelona Image

Header First Logo

Man City Preview

City have cruised through their first four matches, winning all four and scoring 11 goals while only conceding three. In those first four games, Erling Haaland has managed to net 2 hat-tricks against Ipswich Town and West Ham. Shocking. The Norwegian already has the fourth-most hat-tricks in Premier League history with eight, and it only took him 69 games to do it.. If you do the math, that means he scores a hat-trick every nine games. By himself, he has already out-scored every single team in the league, with the closest being Chelsea who have scored eight total goals as a team. 

City’s first match of the season at Chelsea has easily been their toughest opponent, and while City were able to walk out of Stamford bridge with two goals and three points, they didn’t do it in the prettiest way. Inter will definitely be the biggest test for Man City, and with a match against Arsenal on Sunday, I don’t see them coming out firing on all cylinders. Another thing to note about City’s performance is that City have also conceded the first goal in three straight matches, two of which occurred in the first 10 minutes.


Header First Logo

Inter Milan Preview

Inter Milan have looked sharp in their first four matches of the season, and they are more than capable of giving Manchester City problems when it comes to creating chances. Inter have only conceded three goals in the Serie A this season, as Inzaghi’s 5-3-2 has proven to be a difficult setup to break down.

But Manchester City know all about that, as they only created 0.9 xG in the Champions League final from two years ago, and they only allowed seven shots. With this in mind after hearing about the dominance Haaland is having playing teams that aren’t Inter Milan, this is very impressive. One player I credit highly to the success of this style of play from Inter is midfielder Nicolo Barella. A true jack-of-all-trades in the center of the park, along with help from his creative counterparts in Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Hakan Calhanoglu, he makes this midfield one of the most complete trios in all of Europe. Inter also signed a new goal scoring threat in Marcus Thuram who leads the Serie A in goals this season with four goals in four matches. 


Header First Logo

Man City vs. Inter Milan Champions League Prediction

Despite all of the emphasis on goal scoring I mentioned from City, I don’t expect Inter Milan vs Man City to be a shootout. City have their biggest match of the Premier League season coming up four days after this bout with Inter, and Inter’s manager Simone Inzaghi likely will not implement a heavy attacking style. I don’t think these teams are all that different from their clash in the Champions League final from two years ago, and that match finished 1-0.

I think the under 2.5 at +125 is good value. That being said, I also think that a very fun bet to sprinkle on an 11-20 min 1st goal interval. City have scored five goals in this time period while conceding one in their four Premier League matches this season, and Inter have conceded one goal in this time period but have also scored in the fifth and 10th minute of a match in Serie A this season. 

Pick: Under 2.5 (+125 via DraftKings) AND/OR 1st Goal Interval 11-20 Min (+340 via DraftKings)

How to Watch Champions League: Time, Channel, Streaming

Location:Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
Date:Wednesday, September 18
Kickoff Time:3 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:CBS Sports / Paramount+, YouTube TV, Fubo

Man City vs. Inter Milan is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET live from Manchester, England on Wednesday. The Champions League match is live on CBS Sports platforms and streaming on Paramount+, YouTube TV, Fubo and other streaming platforms.

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