Who is favored to win Best Documentary Feature at the 2025 Oscars? Current odds list No Other Land as the betting favorite to win the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature at -165.
The Academy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, March 2 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. It will get started at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and hosted by Conan O'Brien.
Here's everything you need to know about the Best Documentary Feature race at the 2025 Academy Awards.
Best Documentary Feature Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| No Other Land | -165 | 62.26% |
| Porcelain War | +150 | 40% |
| Sugarcane | +700 | 12.5% |
| Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Black Box Diaries | +2000 | 4.76% |
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No Other Land is the betting favorite to win Best Documentary Feature at the 2025 Oscars at -165 odds.
Next up on the odds board is Porcelain War at +150 odds to win Best Documentary Feature. It's followed by Sugarcane at +700 odds.
Other nominees include Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat at +1600 and Black Box Diaries at +2000 odds to win Best Documentary Feature at the 2025 Oscars.
Best Documentary Feature Predictions
Collin Whitchurch: No Other Land has a complicated path despite its standing as the favorite. It’s an incredible film, made over several years by a Palestinian-Israeli Collective that documented the destruction of Masafer Yatta by Israeli military forces.
It was never able to secure a U.S. distributor and was instead self-distributed by its filmmakers to appear in select theaters around the country.
This is another category of which the precursors aren’t as much help as we’d hope. That’s because the most common winner was Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story, which naturally was not nominated by the Academy.
My concern with the favorite here is that not enough voters saw No Other Land, although it has won enough awards across the circuit to assuage that a bit.
Wins by Porcelain War and Sugarcane have actually helped make this race tight enough that I now do see value on No Other Land. It’s not my most confident bet of the night, but I believe it’s worth a wager in the -160 to -165 range.
Bet: No Other Land -160 at FanDuel
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2025 Oscars FAQ
When are the 2025 Oscars?
The 2025 Oscars (97th Academy Awards) are scheduled for this Sunday, March 2, 2025.
Where are the 2025 Oscars held?
The 2025 Oscars will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.
Where to watch the 2025 Oscars?
The 2025 Oscars will be broadcast on ABC.
Who is hosting the 2025 Oscars?
The 2025 Oscars will be hosted by Conan O'Brien.
Who is nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
The films nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars are Anora, The Brutalist, Conclave, A Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez, Wicked, The Substance, The Nickel Boys, Dune: Part Two, and I'm Still Here.
Who is favored to win at the 2025 Oscars?
Anora is the favorite for Best Picture, Sean Baker (Anora) is the favorite for Best Director, Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) is favored to win Best Actor, Demi Moore (The Substance) is favored to win Best Actress, Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) is favored to win Best Supporting Actor, and Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) is favored to win Best Supporting Actress.
Who won at the 2024 Oscars?
Christopher Nolan's film "Oppenheimer" was the big winner at the 2024 Oscars. The film won Best Picture and had the most nominations (13) and overall wins (7). It also won Best Director (Nolan), Best Actor (Cillian Murphy), Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.), Best Original Score, Best Cinematography and Best Film Editing. Emma Stone won Best Actress for her role in "Poor Things," while Da'Vine Joy Randolph won Best Supporting Actress for her role in "The Holdovers."
Is Wicked nominated for an Oscar?
"Wicked" is nominated for Best Picture and has +5000 odds to win. Additionally, Cynthia Erivo has been nominated for Best Actress and Ariana Grande has been nominated for Best Supporting Actress.
More 2025 Oscars Coverage
- Complete Academy Awards Betting Odds
- Chris Raybon's 2025 Academy Awards Betting Card
- Collin Whitchurch's 2025 Oscars Best Bets & Predictions
- Best Picture Odds, Predictions
- Best Director Odds, Predictions
- Best Actor Odds, Predictions
- Best Actress Odds, Predictions
- Best Supporting Actor Odds, Predictions
- Best Supporting Actress Odds, Predictions
- Best Original Screenplay Odds, Predictions
- Best Adapted Screenplay Odds, Predictions
- Best Costume Design Odds, Predictions
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- Best Animated Feature Odds, Predictions
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- Best International Feature Odds, Predictions
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- Best Original Score Odds, Predictions
- Best Sound Odds, Predictions
- Best Documentary Feature Odds, Predictions
- Best Animated Short Odds, Predictions
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