Best Documentary Short Odds, Predictions | Oscar Favorites, Academy Awards Betting Guide

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Who is favored to win Best Documentary Short at the 2025 Oscars? Current odds list I Am Ready, Warden as the betting favorite to win the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short at +110.

The Academy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, March 2 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. It will get started at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and hosted by Conan O'Brien.

Here's everything you need to know about the Best Documentary Short race at the 2025 Academy Awards.

Best Documentary Short Odds

NomineeOddsImplied Prob.
I Am Ready, Warden+11047.62%
The Only Girl in the Orchestra+17536.36%
Incident+33023.26%
Death by Numbers+70012.5%
Instruments of a Beating Heart+35002.78%

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I Am Ready, Warden is the betting favorite to win Best Documentary Short at the 2025 Oscars at +110 odds.

Next up on the odds board is The Only Girl in the Orchestra at +175 odds.

That's followed by Incident at +330 and Death by Numbers at +700 odds.

The other nominee is Instruments of a Beating Heart, which was +3500 odds to win Best Documentary Short at the 2025 Oscars.

Best Documentary Short Predictions

Chris Raybon: There's some slight value here on one of the favorites, I Am Ready, Warden, considering it's sitting at around 60% on Gold Derby and can be had at even money on the betting market.

Pick: I Am Ready, Warden

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2025 Oscars FAQ

When are the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars (97th Academy Awards) are scheduled for this Sunday, March 2, 2025.

Where are the 2025 Oscars held?

The 2025 Oscars will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.

Where to watch the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars will be broadcast on ABC.

Who is hosting the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars will be hosted by Conan O'Brien.

Who is nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

The films nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars are Anora, The Brutalist, Conclave, A Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez, Wicked, The Substance, The Nickel Boys, Dune: Part Two, and I'm Still Here.

Who is favored to win at the 2025 Oscars?

Anora is the favorite for Best Picture, Sean Baker (Anora) is the favorite for Best Director, Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) is favored to win Best Actor, Demi Moore (The Substance) is favored to win Best Actress, Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) is favored to win Best Supporting Actor, and Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) is favored to win Best Supporting Actress.

Who won at the 2024 Oscars?

Christopher Nolan's film "Oppenheimer" was the big winner at the 2024 Oscars. The film won Best Picture and had the most nominations (13) and overall wins (7). It also won Best Director (Nolan), Best Actor (Cillian Murphy), Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.), Best Original Score, Best Cinematography and Best Film Editing. Emma Stone won Best Actress for her role in "Poor Things," while Da'Vine Joy Randolph won Best Supporting Actress for her role in "The Holdovers."

Is Wicked nominated for an Oscar?

"Wicked" is nominated for Best Picture and has +5000 odds to win. Additionally, Cynthia Erivo has been nominated for Best Actress and Ariana Grande has been nominated for Best Supporting Actress.

More 2025 Oscars Coverage

About the Author
Chris Raybon is a senior betting analyst at the Action Network, specializing in NFL, NBA, and fantasy football betting. He hosts The Action Network Podcast, with profitable NFL ATS picks every season, and the Fantasy Flex Podcast, while regularly appearing on NBA TV’s NBA BET and Turner Sports’ The Line. With over 15 years of betting experience, Chris boasts a 57% all-time winning percentage on NFL bets and top-5 finishes in FantasyPros accuracy rankings.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.

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