Best Actor Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) | -1200 | 92.31% |
| Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) | +600 | 14.29% |
| Bradley Cooper (Maestro) | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Colman Domingo (Rustin) | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) | +8000 | 1.23% |
Odds via bet365 and as of March 9. Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 Academy Awards.
The Oppenheimer love continues over in the Best Actor category, where breakout star Cillian Murphy is listed at -1000 to claim the award. A $100 wager on Murphy would net bettors $10.
Veteran character actor Paul Giamatti is the second favorite for his role in Alexander Payne's The Holdovers. At +550, a $100 wager would net $550.
Coming in right behind Giamatti is Bradley Cooper, who directed himself in the Leonard Bernstein biopic, Maestro. At +1400, a $100 wager on Cooper would bring in $1,400 in profit.
Following Cooper are two longshots: Colman Domingo for Rustin and Jeffrey Wright for American Fiction. Both are +8000, meaning a $100 bet would net $8,000.
Best Actor Prediction
Collin Wilson: The BAFTAs and a Best Picture nomination are generally precursors to this winner. Both Oppenheimer and The Holdovers are up for Best Picture, while Murphy took home the BAFTA.
However, Austin Butler took home the BAFTA last year for Elvis and Brendan Fraser won for The Whale. This category was even wilder in 2021 with high odds on Chadwick Boseman for Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, but BAFTA winner Anthony Hopkins cashed a 7/1 for The Father.
This is a two-man race, with Giamatti and Murphy winning Golden Globes and no other contender generating Expert, Editor or User votes at Gold Derby. The Academy voting base has a strong overlap with SAG and BAFTA, both voting for Murphy.
When actors have careers like Giamatti or the impeccable resume of Jeffrey Wright from American Fiction, there can be a vote for a lifetime achievement of sorts. In terms of MVP to their respective film, nothing tops what Murphy is to Oppenheimer but the math screams Giamatti.
Bet: Paul Giamatti +600
For complete Oscars odds for every category, click here.
How to Watch the 2024 Academy Awards
The 2024 Academy Awards are scheduled for Sunday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET and will be broadcast by ABC. They will take place at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, and Jimmy Kimmel will host.
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