Best Original Screenplay Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Anatomy of a Fall | -275 | 73.33% |
| The Holdovers | +220 | 31.25% |
| Past Lives | +900 | 10.00% |
| Maestro | +4000 | 2.44% |
| May December | +4000 | 2.44% |
Odds via bet365 and as of March 9. Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 Academy Awards.
The favorite for Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars is Anatomy of a Fall at -250 odds. That means a $100 wager on Anatomy of a Fall to win Best Original Screenplay would bring in $40 in profit.
The next-lowest odds for the Best Original Screenplay Academy Award belong to The Holdovers. At +175, a $100 wager on The Holdovers would net $175 in profit should it come away victorious at the Academy Awards.
Behind The Holdovers at longer odds is Past Lives, which is +1200 to win Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars. A $100 wager on Past Lives would bring in a profit of $1,200 if it wins.
The two longest-shot nominees are Maestro and May December, which are both listed at +4000.
Best Original Screenplay Prediction
Chris Raybon: Just over 81% of Gold Derby experts and editors are backing Anatomy of a Fall, compared to 16% for The Holdovers and 3% for Past Lives.
Anatomy of a Fall won screenplay awards at the Golden Globes and BAFTAs, beating both The Holdovers and Past Lives in the latter while going up against a stronger overall lineup in the former (Oppenheimer, Barbie, Poor Things, Killers of the Flower Moon, Past Lives).
Bet: Anatomy of a Fall -275 (Bet to -425)
For complete Oscars odds for every category, click here.
How to Watch the 2024 Academy Awards
The 2024 Academy Awards are scheduled for Sunday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET and will be broadcast by ABC. They will take place at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, and Jimmy Kimmel will host.
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