Update: Fight for You, which was performed by H.E.R. for Judas and the Black Messiah, won the Academy Award for Best Original Song.
Best Original Song Nominees & Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Speak Now (One Night in Miami) | -155 | 60.8% |
| Io Sì (Seen) (The Life Ahead) | +225 | 30.8% |
| Husavik (Eurovision Song Contest) | +350 | 22.2% |
| Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah) | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Hear My Voice (The Trial of the Chicago 7) | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings. | ||
Best Original Song Predictions
Speak Now -155
Collin Whitchurch: The drama here revolves around Diane Warren, writer of Io Sì for La vita davanti a sé (The Life Ahead). Warren's songwriting prowess is well known in the industry, and this is her 12th nomination in this category. She's won zero times.
Warren list of credits include 1997's "Because You Loved Me" for Up Close & Personal, 1999's "I Don't Want To Miss A Thing" for Armageddon, 2016's "Til It Happens to You" (shared with Lady Gaga) for The Hunting Ground, and 2019's "I'll Fight" for RBG. She's written so many songs you know, yet is mostly unfamiliar to the average fan.
This year, her song enters with the second-best odds, but it's really tough to see her breaking through ahead of the popular and moving "Speak Now," from One Night in Miami, a film that was simply seen by more people.
I'll be rooting for Warren to get her first Academy Award in her 12th attempt. The odds don't make her worth a bet, however.
