Best Production Design Prediction for 2020 Oscars
Chris Raybon: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood -167 (up to -245)
At the Art Directors Guild, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood took home the top prize for production design in the period film category while Parasite bagged the same in the contemporary film category. A film that won at the Art Director’s Guild Awards has gone on to win the Oscar for Production Design 16 times in 23 years.
Meanwhile, 1917 took home the BAFTA, but the BAFTAs and Oscars have aligned just eight times in the past 23 years. On years in which they didn’t align, an ADG winner has snagged an Oscar 60% of the time.
Gold Derby experts are ruling out The Irishman and Jojo Rabbit, and after adjusting Ben Zauzmer's Oscarmetrics model, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood becomes a commanding frontrunner at 71.2%, followed by 1917 at 16.3% and Parasite at 11.3%.
Best Production Design Odds for 2020 Oscars
- Once Upon A Time in Hollywood -167
- 1917 +200
- Parasite +375
- Jojo Rabbit +5000
- The Irishman +5000
