Best Visual Effects Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Godzilla Minus One | -150 | 60.00% |
| The Creator | +110 | 47.62% |
| Napoleon | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One | +5000 | 1.96% |
Odds via bet365 and as of March 9. Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 Academy Awards.
The Best Visual Effects odds for the 2024 Academy Awards shows Godzilla Minus One as the favorite at -175 odds. That means a $100 bet on Godzilla Minus One to win Best Visual Effects would net a $57.14 profit.
Next up on the odds board is The Creator at +125 odds. A $100 bet on The Creator would bring in a $125 profit it it wins the Oscar for Best Visual Effects.
There are a trio of longshots in this category, according to oddsmakers. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, Napoleon and Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One are listed at +1600, +2000 and +5000, respectively.
Best Visual Effects Prediction
Collin Wilson: The Visual Effects Society's awards saw The Creator take five of 14 awards, while Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 won two of the awards. Godzilla Minus One was nominated in just a single category: Outstanding Animated Character, where Rocket in GotG3 beat Godzilla himself.
Only about half of the winners of Outstanding Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature go on from VES to win the Oscars. Recent history is two straight: 2023 Avatar and 2021 Dune. However, there have been two recent disagreements. In 2020, the VES went with Midnight Sky while the Oscars picked Tenet, and in 2019 the VES went with Lion King and the Oscars picked 1917.
There's no help from the BAFTAs here, as Poor Things (not nominated) beat The Creator and GotG3.
Why is Godzilla Minus One surging in the betting market when John David Washington and The Creator won VES and Rocket beat Godzilla heads up? This is the first Japanese film nominated for Visuals and the first time Godzilla himself has been nominated at the Academy Awards.
Takashi Yamazaki has long been a staple of the Japanese film industry and was Director/VFX here for Godzilla. After years of nominations and no wins for VFX, Yamazaki won Chicago, Florida, Las Vegas, San Diego, Seattle and Utah Film Critics Awards.
Despite parallels to Parasite, from not winning Best Picture at other high profile events to massive steam leading up to the Academy Awards. The combination of The Creator winning VES and Rocket beating Godzilla head-tohead has me splitting a unit with two wagers.
Bets: The Creator (+110) | Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (+1800)
For complete Oscars odds for every category, click here.
How to Watch the 2024 Academy Awards
The 2024 Academy Awards are scheduled for Sunday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET and will be broadcast by ABC. They will take place at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, and Jimmy Kimmel will host.
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