Oscar for Best Picture Odds: Predictions for Anora, The Brutalist, The Substance, Wicked

Oscar for Best Picture Odds: Predictions for Anora, The Brutalist, The Substance, Wicked article feature image
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Which movie will be crowned Best Picture at the Oscars? As the biggest night in Hollywood approaches, the debate is in full swing.

With the 97th Academy Awards taking place on March 2, the race for the industry’s highest honor is more intense than ever.

Kalshi provides a unique platform for those looking to forecast the Oscars, offering a range of markets to bet on this year’s Best Picture winner.


Best Picture Odds

On Kalshi, "Anora" is the favorite to win the Oscar for Best Picture. It seems like "The Brutalist", one of last year’s best films, doesn’t have much support from bettors.

Anora Odds

"Anora" is a 2024 American dramedy directed by Sean Baker. The story follows Anora "Ani" Mikheeva, a 23-year-old stripper working in Brighton Beach, Brooklyn. She meets Ivan "Vanya" Zakharov, the 21-year-old son of a Russian oligarch and, after a few encounters, he proposes to her in Las Vegas.

His plan? To get a green card and avoid being dragged back to Russia to work for his father. Ani says yes, but things get messy when Vanya’s parents fly to the U.S. to shut the whole thing down.

The movie dives into themes of love, class differences, and identity in a world ruled by power and excess.

"Anora" has been a critical hit, scoring six Oscar nominations, including Best Picture, Best Director and Best Actress for Mikey Madison.

The Brutalist Odds

"The Brutalist" is a 2024 epic drama directed by Brady Corbet.

The film follows László Tóth, a Hungarian-Jewish architect and Holocaust survivor, who immigrates to the U.S. in 1947 with his wife, Erzsébet, to rebuild their lives and careers.

László is commissioned by a wealthy industrialist, Harrison Lee Van Buren, to design a grand modernist monument.

What seems like the American Dream soon turns complicated as László faces numerous challenges that test his artistic vision and personal integrity.

The film spans nearly 30 years, exploring ambition, identity, and the immigrant experience in post-war America.

"The Brutalist" has received seven Oscar nominations, including Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Supporting Actor for Peter Sarsgaard.

Best Picture Nominees

  • Anora
  • The Brutalist
  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Emilia Pérez
  • I'm Still Here
  • Nickel Boys
  • The Substance
  • Wicked

What is Kalshi?

Different from a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.

Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and, like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).

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