As awards season heats up, everyone is focused on one of most anticipated questions of the year: Who will win the Oscar for Best Actor?
With the 97th Academy Awards approaching on March 2, speculation about which leading actor will take home the industry's highest honor is growing.
For bettors, the Oscars present a unique opportunity as there are numerous prediction markets available on Kalshi.
Best Actor Odds
On Kalshi, Adrien Brody is the favorite to win the Oscar for Best Actor. However, Timothée Chalamet is close behind.
Meanwhile, Ralph Fiennes, Sebastian Stan and Colman Domingo are mentioned, but not seen as likely winners.
Adrien Brody's Odds
Adrien Brody is considered the favorite to win the Oscar for Best Actor for his outstanding performance in "The Brutalist".
In the film, Brody portrays László Tóth, a Hungarian-Jewish architect and Holocaust survivor who emigrates to the United States after World War II.
Brody's performance has been widely praised by critics for his ability to convey the resilience and emotional depth of his character.
Additionally, Brody has won several major awards this season, including the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Drama Film, further solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Oscar race.
Timothée Chalamet's Odds
Timothée Chalamet's performance in "A Complete Unknown" has been widely praised for its depth and versatility.
He portrays a young Bob Dylan and captures both the iconic musician's mannerisms and the emotional complexity behind his transformation into a cultural icon.
Chalamet gained 20 pounds for the role to further immersing himself in the physical and psychological nuances of the character.
Critics have highlighted his ability to channel Dylan's essence without mimicking him as Chalamet adds his own distinct touch to the portrayal.
His work in the film has earned him critical acclaim, positioning him as one of the top contenders to win Best Actor at the 2025 Academy Awards.
Best Actor Nominees
- Adrien Brody – The Brutalist
- Timothée Chalamet – A Complete Unknown
- Ralph Fiennes – Conclave
- Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice
- Colman Domingo – Sing Sing
What is Kalshi?
Different from a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and, like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
