The mid-tier has been a solid spot to find British Open winners in recent years: Francesco Molinari (2018) and Henrik Stenson (2016) both came in this range.
But it's also been tough to go to far down the board. Six of the past seven winners had 50-1 odds or better with Zach Johnson (2015) being the lone exception.
Perry's Mid-Tier Betting Preview: 2 Best Values
I started my card with Justin Thomas at 45-1, and if you can track down a number over 30-1, it's still worth a look.
I'm also on Bryson DeChambeau at 45-1.
That number has bounced around the past few months and peaked in the 70-1 range. But DeChambeau has recently found his form, and the number has dipped back to 40-1. Recent form has been a key indicator for success in the Open, and DeChambeau has a couple top-10s in his past two starts.
With the course being an unknown, I'll lean to guys playing well, so I still think Bryson is worth backing at 40-1.
My last play in this range is Matt Kuchar. I added him at 50-1 a few days ago when he showed his game was in decent shape at the Scottish Open. That number is still bet-able in the 40-1 range at a few books.
He's been top-10 in the past two Opens and has also been inside the top-20 in four of his past five tournaments, so he has the recent form go along with the comfort of playing links golf.
Normally, I'd like to dip a little lower and grab a player or two that are longer shots. But with the Open, I like to keep it light in case we run into weather issues. If a tee time draw appears to be beneficial after looking at the forecast on Wednesday, I'll look add a few guys on the good side of it.
The Card: Mid-Tier
- Bryson DeChambeau +4500 (0.73 units)
- Matt Kuchar +5000 (0.66 units)
