Turns out shooting 30-under par will cause your odds to plummet.
Fresh off his dominant victory at the 2020 Northern Trust, Dustin Johnson has opened at +850 ($100 bet wins $850) for the 2020 BMW Championship. He's the only golfer with single-digit odds at DraftKings.
DJ's return to form during the Return to Golf has been remarkable. The 36-year-old has two wins, a runner-up at the PGA Championship and five top-20 finishes in eight events since the hiatus.
It wasn't too long ago that DJ was hanging out in the 40-1 range, so to see him as the outright favorite in a FedEx Cup Playoff event is impressive.
Jon Rahm, the man that Johnson has replaced as the World No. 1, is the second choice at Olympia Fields this week at +1000. Rahm finished T6 at TPC Boston last week and has finished inside the top-20 in three of his last four starts, including his win at Memorial five weeks ago.
Justin Thomas (+1200), Webb Simpson (+1400) and Bryson DeChambeau (+1500) round out the top five on the oddsboard. Simpson's game seems to be in the best shape of the three as he's coming off back-to-back top-six finishes. Thomas finished T49 last week while DeChambeau missed the cut at TPC Boston.
Xander Schauffele is the next player in line at +1700. Schauffele hasn't won since January of 2019, but he doesn't seem too far off. Schauffele has made the cut in every event he's played in since the pause and has six top-20 finishes, including a third-place showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
The last two players under 20-1 are trending in opposite directions. Very few golfers have seen their stock rise as much as Daniel Berger (+1800) has over the past three months. Berger is seemingly in contention every week and is now being priced with the game's elites.
Just behind Berger is Rory McIlroy at +1900. McIlroy hasn't threatened to contend in any of his seven starts since the hiatus and has just the lone top-30 finish at the Travelers in that span.
Considering that McIlroy was regularly priced between +800 and +1200 for most of the 2019-20 season, it is a bit jarring to see him drift toward 20-1.
Collin Morikawa (+2600) missed the cut at TPC Boston but he's two weeks removed from his win at the PGA Championship, so there's very little reason to be concerned about Morikawa's game. The last time Morikawa missed a cut he rebounded with a win at the Workday Charity Open his next time out.
The range between +3000 and +5000 is quite interesting as it's an amalgamation of household names, young up-and-comers and in-form players who are normally offered at double the odds.
If Johnson didn't go nuclear at TPC Boston we'd be talking a lot more about Scottie Scheffler's performance at the Northern Trust. The 24-year-old carded a 59 on Friday before finishing T4 in the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Scheffler has now finished T4 two starts in a row and both events, the PGA Championship being the other, featured deep fields.
Everybody and their mother seemed to think Jason Day (+3100) was going to win last week but golf is a funny game and the Aussie missed the cut at TPC Boston. Bettors don't really like to go back to someone who burned them so you can expect Day's popularity to take a hit this week.
If you told me three months ago that Harris English would be sitting at +4500 in a FedEx Cup Playoff event I would have fainted, but that's how good English has been since the restart. The 31-year-old has finished inside the top 20 in five of his last six starts, including a second-place finish at TPC Boston last week as a 90-1 longshot.
And finally, there's that Tiger Woods fella. The Big Cat hasn't been in contention in any of his three starts since the hiatus but he's made the weekend each time out. Woods is currently priced at +3500 for the BMW Championship.
2020 BMW Championship Odds
Odds as of Monday at 12 p.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Dustin Johnson | +850 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Justin Thomas | +1200 |
Webb Simpson | +1400 |
Bryson Dechambeau | +1500 |
Xander Schauffele | +1700 |
Daniel Berger | +1800 |
Rory McIlroy | +1900 |
Collin Morikawa | +2600 |
Patrick Cantlay | +3000 |
Scottie Scheffler | +3000 |
Jason Day | +3100 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +3500 |
Patrick Reed | +3500 |
Tiger Woods | +3500 |
Harris English | +4500 |
Tony Finau | +4500 |
Viktor Hovland | +4500 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +4500 |
Paul Casey | +5000 |
Billy Horschel | +5000 |
Kevin Kisner | +5000 |
Adam Scott | +5000 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | +5500 |
Matthew Wolff | +5500 |
Matt Kuchar | +7000 |
Alexander Noren | +7000 |
Ryan Palmer | +7000 |
Gary Woodland | +7000 |
Russell Henley | +7500 |
Abraham Ancer | +9000 |
Kevin Na | +9000 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +9000 |
Sungjae Im | +9000 |
Corey Conners | +10000 |
Brian Harman | +10000 |
Jason Kokrak | +10000 |
Bubba Watson | +10000 |
Cameron Champ | +11000 |
Dylan Frittelli | +11000 |
Charles Howell III | +11000 |
Mark Hubbard | +11000 |
Brendan Steele | +11000 |
Brendon Todd | +14000 |
Talor Gooch | +15000 |
Adam Long | +15000 |
Kevin Streelman | +15000 |
Byeong Hun An | +17500 |
Joel Dahmen | +17500 |
Tyler Duncan | +17500 |
Lanto Griffin | +17500 |
Adam Hadwin | +17500 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +17500 |
Marc Leishman | +17500 |
Sebastian Munoz | +17500 |
Joaquin Niemann | +17500 |
J.T. Poston | +17500 |
Cameron Smith | +17500 |
Max Homa | +20000 |
Danny Lee | +22500 |
Maverick McNealy | +22500 |
Richy Werenski | +22500 |
Harry Higgs | +30000 |
Carlos Ortiz | +30000 |
Robby Shelton | +30000 |
Nick Taylor | +30000 |
Michael Thompson | +30000 |
Jim Herman | +40000 |
Tom Hoge | +40000 |
Andrew Landry | +40000 |
First-Round Leader Odds
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Dustin Johnson | +1400 |
Bryson Dechambeau | +2000 |
Rory McIlroy | +2000 |
Jon Rahm | +2000 |
Webb Simpson | +2000 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Daniel Berger | +2800 |
Collin Morikawa | +2800 |
Xander Schauffele | +2800 |
Scottie Scheffler | +2800 |
Patrick Cantlay | +3300 |
Jason Day | +3300 |
Harris English | +3300 |
Tony Finau | +3300 |
Patrick Reed | +3300 |
Tiger Woods | +3300 |
Paul Casey | +4000 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +4000 |
Viktor Hovland | +4000 |
Kevin Kisner | +4000 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +4000 |
Matthew Wolff | +4000 |
Billy Horschel | +4500 |
Matt Kuchar | +4500 |
Ryan Palmer | +4500 |
Adam Scott | +4500 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | +5000 |
Russell Henley | +5000 |
Alexander Noren | +5000 |
Cameron Champ | +5500 |
Sungjae Im | +5500 |
Gary Woodland | +5500 |
Abraham Ancer | +6000 |
Kevin Na | +6000 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +6000 |
Bubba Watson | +6000 |
Corey Conners | +6600 |
Dylan Frittelli | +6600 |
Brian Harman | +6600 |
Charles Howell III | +6600 |
Jason Kokrak | +6600 |
Brendon Todd | +6600 |
Joel Dahmen | +7000 |
Byeong Hun An | +8000 |
Tyler Duncan | +8000 |
Talor Gooch | +8000 |
Adam Hadwin | +8000 |
Max Homa | +8000 |
Mark Hubbard | +8000 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +8000 |
Marc Leishman | +8000 |
Adam Long | +8000 |
Joaquin Niemann | +8000 |
Robby Shelton | +8000 |
Cameron Smith | +8000 |
Brendan Steele | +8000 |
Kevin Streelman | +8000 |
Lanto Griffin | +9000 |
Sebastian Munoz | +9000 |
J.T. Poston | +9000 |
Richy Werenski | +9000 |
Harry Higgs | +10000 |
Tom Hoge | +10000 |
Andrew Landry | +10000 |
Danny Lee | +10000 |
Maverick McNealy | +10000 |
Carlos Ortiz | +10000 |
Nick Taylor | +10000 |
Michael Thompson | +10000 |
Jim Herman | +15000 |