The Pebble Beach Pro-Am is one of the more unique events on the PGA Tour calendar. Not only are the players paired up with celebrity partners, but the event is played on three separate courses and the presence of the aforementioned amateurs can slow things down considerably — six-hour rounds are not out of the question at this event.
Dustin Johnson (+550) is the clear favorite of a top-heavy field this week, with Patrick Cantlay (+1000), Paul Casey (+1600), Brandt Snedeker (+2000) and Jason Day (+2000) rounding out the top five.
Here are our staff's favorite bets for the 2020 Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
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Jason Sobel
The Bet: Patrick Rodgers Top-20 Finish (+500)
I’m already on board with Maverick McNealy as a top-10 bet this week and I’ll stick with the Stanford theme here.
Two years ago, Rodgers was T-8 at this event and he’s been finding some form again recently, cashing top-20 bets with T-9 and T-16 results in the past two weeks.
I like him in a few other categories, as well – as a potential long-shot outright winner and for DFS lineups — but top-20 feels like a smart bet right now.
Justin Bailey
The Bet: Cameron Tringale (-135) over Beau Hossler
I had success targeting Beau Hossler last week and I’ll go back to the well again this week. The three courses in the rotation this week set up as second-shot courses, along with an emphasis on around-the-green play. Neither of those are Hossler’s strengths, ranking 148th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 112th in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green over his last 50 rounds, per Fantasy National.
Meanwhile, Tringale ranks 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green over the same time frame. This course should set up well for Tringale given how good he is with his short irons. And even if his irons aren’t dialed in, he’s been able to save for par on his 63% of his holes over the last 75 weeks that he’s missed the green, compared to just 56.6% for Hossler, per the FantasyLabs Player Models.
Josh Perry
The Bet: Jason Day Top 20 -115
Day plays well here pretty much every year. He’s finished inside the top-11 in six of the last seven years. He's also coming off a top-20 finish at Torrey Pines a couple weeks ago.
Some golfers just have their comfort zones and Pebble Beach appears to be one of those spots for Day. So I’ll take him getting close to even money.