The 2019-20 PGA TOUR season picks up back on Thursday with the 2020 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, S.C.
Typically held the week after The Masters, the field for this tournament is usually lacking starpower and that has led to some longshot winners like defending champ C.T. Pan, who took down this event at 200-1 in 2019.
Will we see another triple-digit winner this time around?
Here are our favorite sleeper picks for the 2020 RBC Heritage:
RBC HERITAGE PROMO! Win $100 if Rory McIlroy makes just ONE birdie all week
Jason Sobel
Lucas Glover (+17500, $10 bet wins $1,750)
The former U.S. Open champion has enjoyed a career renaissance recently. A runner-up finish at the 2018 Korn Ferry Tour Championship clinched his PGA TOUR card for the next season and he proceeded to finish 17th-or-better in 10 of his next 12 starts.
While he hasn’t kept up with that torrid pace, a T-23 result last week should portend good things for this week, at an event where he tends to post some decent numbers, but has never really seriously contended. It feels like time for Glover to get himself into the mix on a Sunday afternoon and his ball-striking numbers suggest this could the time.
Collin Wilson
Lucas Glover (+17500), Kevin Streelman (+17500)
One of these golfers loves the RBC Heritage, while one of them may be heating up just in time for another accuracy test. Glover finished tied for 23rd at Colonial, posting 21 total birdies and a ranking of first overall in driving accuracy.
His tee-to-green game was inline with his top 25 ranking since 2019. Before a missed cut last year, Glover had finished top 35 four years straight at the Heritage.
Kevin Streelman was cut at Colonial at even par after two rounds. But he had a fantastic strokes gained tee-to-green number and may have been saving his putter for the Bermuda's at the Heritage. Streelman has a terrific history at this course.
With seven straight cuts made, you can guarantee the search will be on for a Streelman to make the cut before first tee.
While I typically do not bet a ton of outrights and will stick to Top 20, Top 10 and matchups in the Action App, Streelman and Glover will be bet in just about anyway I can get cash down.
I wouldn't go below 150-1 on either of these longshots.
Josh Perry
Matthew NeSmith (+25000)
NeSmith is a South Carolina native who lists Harbour Town as his favorite course. In fact, he proposed to his wife on the 18th green here, so get ready to hear that story a few times this week.
As for his game, NeSmith was one of the best ball-strikers on the Korn Ferry Tour last season, but his putting would let him down. I'm hoping he'll get hot with the flat stick this week, since he'll know the greens pretty well. He also should understand how to get the ball around this course and score, which gives him some value at this number.
That being said, I’d definitely make sure you’re getting at least 200-1 and close to +1000 for a top-20 finish on NeSmith.
Bryan Mears
Shane Lowry +9000
Near the top of my Harbour Town-specific model this week is Lowry, who sits all the way down at 90/1 for some reason at DraftKings. He’s the same price as Joel Dahmen, which is honestly pretty absurd.
Lowry disappointed last week, missing the cut at Colonial, but that was pretty much entirely due to putting, which is mostly random week-to-week. He actually gained strokes tee-to-green but was just abysmal once he actually got there. That will shift over time, and it could be this week.
He’s an awesome course fit for Harbour Town, which clearly catches his eye; he finished third here last year. It’s a links-style course on the beach in South Carolina, and the Irishman just won the biggest links event in the world in the Open Championship in 2019.
All in all, Lowry is too good talent-wise and is too good of a fit for Harbour Town to be nearly triple digits in price. He may not win, but 90/1 is way lower than it should be.
