After a week off for the Ryder Cup, the PGA Tour season gets back underway with the Sanderson Farms Championship.
The Course
The Country Club of Jackson is on the longer side, measuring 7,460 yards for a par 72.
It’s also been a spot where players further down the odds board have snuck out with some wins. Cameron Champ was the closest to being near the top at +4500, and three of the six winners have been in triple digits. Even Sergio Garcia came a bit out of nowhere last year, cashing at +7000 in this field.
There isn’t much to test the players here. The winner will need to get near 20-under par this week.
This course caters to a few styles of play, as previously mentioned, so it will come down to who can catch a hot putter on these Bermuda greens or can just dominate from tee-to-green.
The Favorites
Five guys make up the top part of the board between +1600-2500, depending on where you look. The defending champ Garcia, fresh off a strong week at the Ryder Cup, is joined in this range by Sam Burns, Sungjae Im, Corey Conners and Will Zalatoris.
It really wouldn't be too shocking to see any of these guys play well here.
Burns and Im have some of their best results on Bermuda greens. Meanwhile, Conners and Zalatoris are right in that Garcia ball striking mold that was so successful in his win last year.
The Mid-Tier
I'll open here with Charley Hoffman at +3600 on FanDuel. Hoffman was on my card a year ago and came in sixth here. I think this is a good set up for him off the tee. The irons weren't in quite as good of shape last year as they are now, so hopefully some improved approach game can push him forward here.
We'll also go with C.T. Pan at +7500 on FanDuel. Pan is coming off a good start two weeks ago, finishing sixth in Napa Valley. He was also 12th here a year ago. The tee ball has been a concern for him in the past, but he's been driving the ball better as of late, gaining strokes in seven of his last nine starts.
I'll also go with Chris Kirk at +9000 on FanDuel. Kirk has played well here in the past, finishing second in 2016. He's also gained strokes on approach in six of his last seven starts.
I'll finish out this range with Brendon Todd at +9500 on FanDuel. He played well to start the season at the Fortinet Championship and had a great week at the Wyndham as well to close out the 2020-2021 regular season.
He's not riding quite the hot streak we saw a couple years ago, but he could get into contention as this kind of event.
The Longshots
I'll be going with Joel Dahmen here at 100/1 on FanDuel.
Dahmen picked up his first win about six months ago and hasn't really been in contention much since. However, he usually gains strokes both off the tee and with the approach, he just hasn't lined up with great weeks on each stats. Then on weeks where the ball striking is there, the putter has struggled. He's got all the pieces to win an event like this.
I'll close out here with my favorite Davis Riley at 320/1 on FanDuel. Riley is a Mississippi native and made the cut here two years ago when he gained five strokes on approach. It should be a fairly comfortable spot and he's worth a look.
The Sanderson Farms Card
- Charley Hoffman +3600 (.92 units)
- CT Pan +7500 (.44 units)
- Chris Kirk +9000 (.37 units)
- Brendon Todd +9500 (.35 units)
- Joel Dahmen +10000 (.33 units)
- Davis Riley +32000 (.1 units)
Total Stake: 2.51 units
