When the favorite wins, I won't.
So with Sam Burns taking down the Sanderson Farms, it's quite easy to move on.
The PGA TOUR heads out west this week for the Shriners Children's Open.
2021 Shriners Open Full Odds
Click here to see the full odds board
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brooks Koepka | +1600 |
| Abraham Ancer | +1800 |
| Webb Simpson | +1800 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | +1800 |
| Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
| Scottie Scheffler | +2200 |
| Will Zalatoris | +2200 |
| Harris English | +2500 |
| Kevin Na | +2500 |
| Sam Burns | +2500 |
| Paul Casey | +2500 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +2800 |
| Sung-Jae Im | +2800 |
| Corey Conners | +3500 |
| Cameron Tringale | +3500 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +4000 |
| Patrick Reed | +4000 |
| Matthew Wolff | +4000 |
| Si Woo Kim | +4500 |
| Erik Van Rooyen | +5000 |
| Mito Pereira | +5000 |
| Charley Hoffman | +5000 |
| Aaron Wise | +5000 |
| Jason Kokrak | +5500 |
| Russell Henley | +5500 |
| Brian Harman | +5500 |
| Marc Leishman | +6000 |
| Adam Scott | +6000 |
| Ian Pouler | +6000 |
| Maverick McNealy | +6000 |
| Danny Willett | +6500 |
| Talor Gooch | +7000 |
| Kevin Streelman | +7000 |
| Seamus Power | +8000 |
| Rickie Fowler | +8000 |
| Ryan Palmer | +8000 |
| Charl Schwartzel | +8000 |
| Emiliano Grillo | +10000 |
| Patton Kizzire | +10000 |
| Lucas Glover | +10000 |
| Taylor Moore | +10000 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | +10000 |
| Luke List | +10000 |
| Kevin Kisner | +10000 |
| Sahith Theegala | +10000 |
| Cameron Davis | +10000 |
| Pat Perez | +10000 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +13000 |
| Henrik Norlander | +13000 |
| Scott Piercy | +13000 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +13000 |
| Stewart Cink | +13000 |
| Stephan Jaeger | +13000 |
| Scott Stallings | +15000 |
| Dylan Frittelli | +15000 |
| Ryan Moore | +15000 |
| Charles Howell III | +15000 |
| Garrick Higgo | +15000 |
| Seth Reeves | +15000 |
| Matthew NeSmith | +15000 |
| Matt Jones | +15000 |
| Roger Sloan | +15000 |
| Cameron Young | +15000 |
| Adam Hadwin | +15000 |
| Peter Malnati | +15000 |
| Adam Schenk | +15000 |
| Chesson Hadley | +15000 |
| Francesco Molinari | +15000 |
| Troy Merritt | +15000 |
| Chez Reavie | +15000 |
| Joseph Bramlett | +15000 |
| Martin Laird | +15000 |
| Trey Mullinax | +15000 |
| Denny McCarthy | +15000 |
| Keith Mitchell | +15000 |
| Joel Dahmen | +15000 |
| Brendon Todd | +15000 |
| Brendan Steele | +18000 |
| Hayden Buckley | +18000 |
| Chad Ramey | +18000 |
| Nate Lashley | +18000 |
| Matt Kuchar | +18000 |
| Greyson Sigg | +18000 |
| Doug Ghim | +18000 |
| Zach Johnson | +18000 |
| Lanto Griffin | +18000 |
| Kyle Stanley | +20000 |
| Doc Redman | +20000 |
| Rory Sabbatini | +20000 |
| Nick Taylor | +20000 |
| Russell Knox | +20000 |
| Aaron Rai | +20000 |
| Brandon Hagy | +20000 |
| Nick Watney | +20000 |
| James Hahn | +20000 |
| Mark Hubbard | +20000 |
| Sam Ryder | +20000 |
| Hudson Swafford | +20000 |
| Hank Lebioda | +20000 |
| J.T. Poston | +20000 |
| Brandt Snedeker | +20000 |
| Harry Higgs | +20000 |
| Matt Wallace | +20000 |
| Kyoung Hoon Lee | +20000 |
| Anirban Lahiri | +20000 |
| Andrew Landry | +20000 |
| Davis Riley | +25000 |
| Bronson Burgoon | +25000 |
| Jimmy Walker | +25000 |
| Brian Stuard | +25000 |
| Michael Thompson | +25000 |
| Tom Hoge | +25000 |
| Adam Svensson | +25000 |
| Kevin Tway | +25000 |
| Graeme McDowell | +30000 |
| Adam Long | +30000 |
| Harry Hall | +30000 |
| Chun-An Yu | +30000 |
| Jim Herman | +30000 |
| Sunghoon Kang | +30000 |
| Brice Garnett | +30000 |
| Robert Streb | +30000 |
| Sepp Straka | +30000 |
| William McGirt | +30000 |
| Andrew Putnam | +30000 |
| Wyndham Clark | +30000 |
| Tyler McCumber | +40000 |
| Kevin Chappell | +40000 |
| Richy Werenski | +40000 |
| Camilo Villegas | +40000 |
| Noh Seung-yul | +40000 |
| Bill Haas | +40000 |
| Jonas Blixt | +50000 |
| Kelly Kraft | +50000 |
| Jesse Mueller | +50000 |
| Brian Gay | +50000 |
| Kyle Westmoreland | +50000 |
| Curtis Thompson | +50000 |
| Martin Trainer | +50000 |
The Course
TPC Summerlin hosts the event, which is a pretty familiar stop for the TOUR during the fall swing. It’s a relatively easy course, measuring at 7,255 yards for a par 71 layout. Outside of the 2017 edition, when the winds picked up and 9-under par won in a playoff, the champion usually gets to around 20-under par.
The top players are tough to beat on this course. Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay and Webb Simpson have won here fairly recently.
However, without much trouble to test the players from tee to green, this can turn into a bit of a putting contest, and we’ll see the odd longshot triumph, like when Rod Pampling held off Brooks Koepka in 2016 or last year when Martin Laird won in a playoff.
The Favorites
Much like last week, there's no clear cut favorite. Koepka and Viktor Hovland open here at +2000, which seems oddly bettable given the strength of this field. We see these two at this number when there are stronger players at the top.
In the next group between +2200 and +2500 we have a past winner in Simpson along with Abraham Ancer, Scottie Scheffler, Louis Oosthuizen and last week's winner Sam Burns.
Of that group, I'd lean Scheffler. He'll be confident after a solid week at the Ryder Cup where he knocked Jon Rahm and will be motivated to get that first PGA Tour title.
The Mid-Tier
I'll open my card here with Adam Scott at +5500 on DraftKings. Scott doesn't play much here, and it's been over two decades since he teed it up for UNLV, but hopefully he'll still have some comfort playing in Las Vegas. It's also his first start in nearly six weeks since being knocked from the FedExCup playoffs early.
However, he was second at the Wyndham in his final regular season start in a field of similar strength and probably should have won on that first playoff hole when he missed from four feet.
We'll also go to Mito Periera at +5000 on BetMGM. Periera has worked his way into contention a few times since graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour. Even though the result wasn't great last week, he was still fourth in approach but managed to lose almost five strokes on the greens. If his tee to green game can hold up, he can play well here with a decent putting week.
The Longshots
We'll start here with Sahith Theegala at 100/1 on BetMGM. Theegala had the 54-hole lead a week ago before drifting into eighth during his first real chance to contend on the PGA Tour.
But that result didn't come out of nowhere. He finished top six during two Korn Ferry Finals events to earn his card about a month ago. He's a West Coast guy from California whom I was keeping an eye on, so we'll try him here since the triple digits are still around.
I'll also go to Roger Sloan at 150/1 on FanDuel. He's coming off a top 15 at Sanderson Farms and was sixth in strokes gained approach. He's not had success here before, but he's put together a few strong weeks with the irons dating back to last season and might be ready for a good week here as well.
The Shriners Card
- Mito Periera +5000 (.66 units)
- Adam Scott +5500 (.6 units)
- Sahith Theegala +10000 (.33 units)
- Roger Sloan +15000 (.22 units)
Total Stake: 1.81 units
