Sebastian Munoz holds a one-shot lead at 21-under par after shooting a 66 on Saturday at TPC Craig Ranch. Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five Round 4 PrizePicks flex plays for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson. For those unfamiliar with PrizePicks flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 10x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Sebastian Munoz: Round 4 Over 9 Fairways Hit
Sebastian Munoz currently sits in first place, which is a big benefit for this prop to go over. If he holds the lead, especially after the turn, he will play conservative and look for safe shots down the middle of the fairway — even if it costs him some distance.
Munoz has hit at least nine fairways in two of the first three rounds and ranks 27th in the field in Driving Accuracy. This season, Munoz ranks 82nd on TOUR in Driving Accuracy and 49th in SG: Off-the-Tee.
I would not play this total at anything higher than nine.
James Hahn: Round 4 Over 9.5 Fairways Hit
James Hahn is T4 at 18-under par after shooting an incredible 61 on Saturday. The biggest reason for Hahn's success thus far in this tournament is his driver as he has flown over this total in each of the first three rounds.
Hitting 12 fairways in each of the first three rounds, Hahn ranks second amongst the field in Driving Accuracy and first in SG: Off-the-Tee. Hahn's driver has arguably been the best part of his game all season as he ranks 69th on TOUR in SG: Off-the-Tee.
I would play this number up to 10.
Xander Schauffele: Round 4 Over 9 Fairways Hit
Another guy whose driving game I am backing is Xander Schauffele, who currently sits T30 at 12-under par. Schauffele has hit nine or more fairways in each of the first three rounds and should be a good candidate to do so once again on Sunday.
Schauffele ranks 33rd on TOUR in SG: Off-the-Tee. That being said, I would not play this number at anything above nine.
Matt Kuchar: Round 4 Over 9 Fairways Hit
While he does not hit the ball very far anymore, Kuchar is still as accurate as ever with his driver. Kuchar has hit 10 or more fairways in each of the first three rounds and ranks fourth amongst the field in Driving Accuracy.
In Round 1, Kuchar was incredible with his driver and hit all fourteen fairways in regulation. These results have not been too shocking for Kuchar this tournament as he ranks 49th on TOUR in Driving Accuracy this season.
I would play this total up to 9.5.
Ian Poulter: Round 4 Over 69 Strokes
Ian Poulter is T61 at 8-under par after shooting a 71 on Saturday. After shooting a 69 or higher in two of the first three rounds, I think Poulter will go over this figure on Sunday.
I discussed in my article earlier this week how the three biggest indicators of success at this course were SG: Approach, SG: Putting and SG Tee-to-Green. Currently, Poulter ranks just 57th, 19th and 79th amongst the field in those metrics.
I would not play this total at anything higher than 69.
