Masters 2022 Odds, Picks, Predictions: Our Staff Drafts Its 16 Favorite Outright Bets

There's a lot that's unique about the Masters.

One is the size of the field. It's tougher for bettors to find value among 91 players compared to a regular stop on the PGA TOUR. With so many elite golfers, how do you set them apart?

Well, our GolfBet team has its favorites. Four of our betting analysts did a snake-style draft, picking their favorite outright picks.

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Round 1

Justin Thomas +1400 (Caesars)

Chris Murphy: I get the pick of the litter up top and my guy to win this week is Justin Thomas. He is coming in with some really solid form off of a T3 at the Valspar and being in contention heading into the final rounds at THE PLAYERS.

I’ve always seen Augusta National as a great fit for his elite iron play and believe it is just a matter of time before he captures his first green jacket. I’ll likely wait out the odds reset that may come on Monday morning. With so many elite players clustered in this range, though, +1400 isn’t bad for my pick to win the first major of 2022.

Jon Rahm +1100 (BetMGM)

Matt Vincenzi: Despite Scottie Scheffler’s rapid ascension to world number one, I still believe Jon Rahm is the best golfer in the world. His short game has been a bit head scratching of late considering the fact that he usually excels in that area. I believe the undulating and lightning fast greens at Augusta National really suit his eye, so he should get back on track here.

The Spaniard’s tee-to-green game has remained sharp aside from The PLAYERS Championship, which is known to be a volatile stop. With four consecutive top-10s at a course that rewards experience, Rahm is the worthy favorite.

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Xander Schauffele +2500 (PointsBet)

Joshua Perry: With the top two guys in my eyes off the board, I’ll dip down here a bit with Xander.

Schauffele’s odds will hopefully drift more this week because I think people are kind of worn out betting him in this range without a return lately. But he consistently plays well and has contended at Augusta.

For whatever reason, Schauffele plays well in these limited fields, and that’s just what the Masters is. Sure it has a cut, but in reality, it’s a WGC-style field with some old guys and amateurs sprinkled in.

I backed him at the Match Play and the results were underwhelming on paper, but he didn’t lose strokes to the field in any of the three rounds. That means his form is still in decent shape.

Brooks Koepka +2000 (PointsBet)

Jason Sobel: If you didn’t know anything about Koepka, if you didn’t know anything about the majors and how they’ve played out over much of the past half-decade, this would seem like an overvalued, overinflated play.

A player ranked just inside the top 20 of the world ranking who’s positioned right around 10th on the pre-tournament odds board? We’re usually seeking the opposite type of correlation, but as we’ve all found out: Brooks doesn’t fit the usual mold.

That said, I don’t mind a bit of form. He finished T3 in Phoenix, T16 at the Honda, T12 in Tampa and reached the quarterfinals of the Match Play. For any other star player, that might equate to a middling trend which could go either way. For Koepka, it means that light switch is already half-flicked, as being healthy and motivated has led to better results entering this one than in most of his previous major wins.

In a field filled with young talents who are largely still unknown commodities on the game’s biggest stage, I’ll go with the guy who’s proven he can raise his game for these moments.

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Round 2

Patrick Cantlay +2500 (DraftKings)

Jason Sobel: I’ve had Cantlay earmarked for a green jacket since his breakthrough FedEx Cup-winning and Ryder Cup-dominant summer. Recent form has soured me just a bit, as he finished T-33 at the Genesis, MC at THE PLAYERS and didn’t advance to the weekend at the WGC-Match Play. If we add each of those three most recent appearances together, there’s enough connective tissue to at least realize he hasn’t been playing his best golf entering this week.

The good news is that momentum hasn’t much mattered for Cantlay in the past. He’d posted one top-10 in his previous eight starts before winning the 2020 Zozo Championship, and he had three MCs leading into a T-23 directly before winning last year’s Memorial Tournament. All of that should leave us breathing easier if selecting him this week.

I’m not nearly as confident in Cantlay as I was earlier in the year, when he opened with four straight top-10s, but I still want some investment in him this week.

Viktor Hovland +2000 (Caesars)

Joshua Perry: Hovland will likely be listed below his big-name counterparts until he shows some better results at Augusta but I don’t mind him here. I’d want at least something in the 20s before actually playing him but for draft purposes, I’d rather take this number than the guys ahead of him.

The Norwegian has posted five top-10s worldwide and won in Dubai. He was also in the mix at The PLAYERS before his classic chipping woes held him back. That part of the game will always be the concern but everything else is ready to contend here.

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Adam Scott +6000 (PointsBet)

Matt Vincenzi: It could be argued that Adam Scott’s entire season revolves around going into major championships in good form. At this stage in his career, the only thing that really impacts his legacy is finding a way to win another major.

Scott is playing great golf at the moment and Augusta National is clearly a great fit for his game, considering he’s won the event (2013) and has four additional top-10 finishes at the Masters. He recently finished fourth at Riviera, which has been a strong indicator in the past of Augusta National success.

Jordan Spieth +2200 (DraftKings)

Chris Murphy: Spieth got a nice reset on his odds on Monday morning, going up to 22-1.

He finished outside the top 30 last week in his title defense at the Valero Texas Open, but the underlying numbers show that he is playing much better than that result. He gained better than 8.5 shots on the week with his ball striking with more than six of those coming on approach, but he was simply dreadful with the flat stick.

We know Spieth has comfort on and around the greens at Augusta every year. With the form he is showing coming into the week tee to green, he is someone to watch in the week ahead.

Round 3

Marc Leishman +8000 (BetMGM)

Chris Murphy: Form never seems to matter too much for Marc Leishman when he heads to Augusta National. He had very subpar results in the lead up to last year’s first major, as he missed the cut in the two events leading into the Masters.

Leishman’s missed cut at THE PLAYERS this year can certainly be thrown out with the strangeness of that event, but the tournaments prior to that show that he has had some form this year. The Aussie always seems to hit it well when chasing the green jacket. At long odds, he is one of my favorite long shots that can have a legitimate shot to win.

Sergio Garcia +8500 (FanDuel)

Matt Vincenzi: There are 17 golfers in Masters history who have won the tournament more than once. There is little doubt that Augusta National is one of the courses on TOUR where the importance of course history is inarguable. Garcia’s recent history at the Masters has been shaky to say the least, as he’s missed the cut in each of his three starts since winning the green jacket back in 2017.

However, in the outright market a missed cut pays the same as a top 10. The Spaniard is a golfer I know is capable of taming Augusta National. Garcia’s iron play this season hasn’t been what we are accustomed to throughout his career, but he remains as good as ever off the tee. He’s gaining 3.4 strokes on the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and ranks ninth on TOUR this season in distance to apex, which is always an important factor at Augusta.

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Will Zalatoris +4000 (PointsBet)

Joshua Perry: Zalatoris really didn’t do much wrong in his debut last year finishing second behind Hideki Matsuyama. This year, Zalatoris has delivered more solid outings, including a runner-up finish at Torrey Pines.

Zalatoris added length this year which should help and the putter is looking better, outside of four feet anyway. He’s also been above average around the greens so far in his career which gets overshadowed by the balky putter.

We’ve seen Spieth back up a runner up debut with a win here the following year, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Zalatoris could duplicate that feat.

Sam Burns +5000 (PointsBet)

Jason Sobel: After taking a few guys with shorter odds for my first two draft picks, I’ll try to find some value with the last two.

As far as I can see, the only reason Burns’ odds aren’t half this number is because he’s making his Masters debut. We all know that no Masters rookie has won a green jacket since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979, but recent history has shown that the experience factor might be a bit of an overplayed narrative. Sure, it doesn’t hurt to have taken a few spins around Augusta National in the past, but the likes of Spieth and Zalatoris “figured it out” fairly quickly.

Burns is fresh off a win in his most recent start and is certainly capable of winning a major. On a board without too many bargains, he fits the profile.

Round 4

Tony Finau +8000 (PointsBet)

Jason Sobel: Those of us who study these things on a weekly basis understand that Finau hasn’t been in great form so far this year, with a best finish of T19 (in the 38-man Sentry TOC field, no less) in nine starts.

Sometimes, though, too much knowledge can work against us. Bettors who helicopter into the golf domain once a year will look at the number next to Finau’s name and simplify the strategy: “He’s good, he always plays well, so I’ll take him.” It’s difficult to argue that the two-time PGA TOUR champion has much win equity, but he does have the necessary talent.

With three top-10s in four career starts here, this might be one where we forget everything we’ve learned this year and just take a chance on the upside.

Shane Lowry +5500 (DraftKings)

Joshua Perry: I really like Lowry’s chances to play well this week. He’s taken a few years to grow accustomed to what is needed to play well here. But top 25s the last two years show he’s making progress. The form has been consistent all season and he’s repeatedly found himself inside the top 20.

Lowry has been trending toward a win all season and if the rain storm out of Caddyshack didn’t pop up on the 18th at PGA National, he could have been the Honda Classic champion.

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Tommy Fleetwood +9000 (DraftKings)

Matt Vincenzi: Fleetwood has been a bit under the radar in both his recent form as well as his form at Augusta National.

In his past three starts, the Englishman has had finishes of 20th, 22nd, and 16th. He also had a solid showing at the WGC- Dell Match Play and was the only player to defeat eventual champion Scottie Scheffler.

Fleetwood has also had some very encouraging starts at The Masters. In his past four starts, he boasts two top 20 finishes.

The fan favorite has been runner up in both the U.S. Open (2018) and the Open Championship (2019). There’s a chance his strong recent play could propel Fleetwood into major championship contention once again.

Max Homa +10000 (BetMGM)

Chris Murphy: Homa has been one of my go-to players early this year and he has always been right there in contention even without a win in 2022.

Homa has four consecutive top-17 finishes to his name and gained better than four shots on every field in each of those events. He’s been even better than that across the last two  stroke-play events, during which he gained 7.9 shots at the Arnold Palmer and 8.7 at THE PLAYERS. His putter is the only thing that has held him back from better results.

This week, Homa gets to make his second appearance at Augusta National following a missed cut in his debut. We know that experience is king around this track and he gets a natural bump just with it being his second trip. He’s an elite par-5 scorer and proven tour winner, coming in with great form, which is all you can ask for at +8000 odds.

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