2022 Memorial Tournament Odds & Picks: 2 Outright Bets & 1 DFS Target

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After a wild Sunday in Texas, the PGA TOUR heads to Ohio for the Memorial Tournament. This statement gets used far too much in the industry, but this is genuinely one of my favorite events of the year. Outside of the four majors and THE PLAYERS, this is arguably the biggest event on the schedule.

We have a stacked field set to tee it up at Jack's place. Muirfield Village has had renovations over the years and now plays as a Par 72 that can stretch over 7,500 yards. The fairways are generous and important to hit given the thick rough and the fact that water is in play on 13 of the 18 holes.

On approach, golfers will need to be dialed in with their irons in order to hit these small bentgrass greens. The average greens in regulation here last year was 63%, which means we can expect a lot of scrambling opportunities for every golfer in the field. To recap, hit it straight off the tee, be precise with irons, and be sharp around the greens. Golfers with very few weaknesses should have a good chance this week.

When I agreed to do this article, I figured I would come out of the gates swinging with a couple winners right away. Unfortunately, that hasn't been the case. If you are betting golf each week, it's important to zoom out and view the season as a whole. A few big weeks can generally pay for most of the bad ones. Golf betting is much more of a roller coaster than betting on spreads for other sports.

Let's get into the picks for the Memorial Tournament.

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Pick to win: Matt Fitzpatrick +2800

Over the years, this tournament has served as a springboard for so many golfers. We have seen so many emerging golfers get their first big win here and something tells me that happens again this week.

My plan is to bet Fitzpatrick every week until he gets his first win on the PGA TOUR. He often gets labeled as a contender that can't get the job done on Sunday, but he has won seven times on the now DP World Tour.

Fitzpatrick has added length off the tee this season, he has gained on approach in nine straight events, and he has one of the best short games on tour. He has finished T14 or better in seven of his last nine starts and finished third here in 2020.

Longshot: Max Homa +4000

The knock on Homa was that he hadn't shown up in the majors, but he came out firing at the PGA Championship and posted a top-15 finish.

Homa has quietly become one of the most consistent golfers on the PGA TOUR. He's rattled off eight straight cuts with six top 20 finishes during that stretch. He's long and straight off the tee, he's one of the best in the field on approach, and his short game continues to improve. He finished T6 here last year and has two wins at what we like to call big boy golf courses like Muirfield — Riviera and Quail Hollow.

DFS Value: Patrick Reed $7,600 DK / $9,700 FD

It's crazy what one event and what one piece of information can do for how we view a golfer. Reed posted a top 10 finish at Colonial last week and then we come to find out that he switched out his PXG driver for his old driver. If you pull up the stats, he had lost strokes off the tee in 14 straight events before switching drivers. All of a sudden, he has gained off the tee in three straight.

The rest of his game has been solid and now he returns to an event where he has posted back-to-back top 10s. He also needs to go on a serious run to gain consideration for the Presidents Cup and we all know how much he loves being a part of those team events.

Good luck this week!

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