2022 PGA Championship Odds & PrizePicks Plays: Jon Rahm Among 5 Picks for Round 1

2022 PGA Championship Odds & PrizePicks Plays: Jon Rahm Among 5 Picks for Round 1 article feature image
Credit:

Hector Vivas/Getty Images. Pictured: Jon Rahm.

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2022 PGA Championship Odds

GolferOdds
Jon Rahm+1200
Scottie Scheffler+1200
Justin Thomas+1600
Rory McIlroy+1600
Collin Morikawa+2000
Jordan Spieth+2000
Cameron Smith+2200
Patrick Cantlay+2200
Dustin Johnson+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
Xander Schauffele+2500
Hideki Matsuyama+2800
Shane Lowry+3500
Will Zalatoris+3500
Brooks Koepka+4000
Joaquin Niemann+4000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Sam Burns+4000
Daniel Berger+5000
Tony Finau+5000
Bryson DeChambeau+6600
Corey Conners+6600
Max Homa+6600
Tyrrell Hatton+6600
Tiger Woods+6600
Abraham Ancer+8000
Cameron Young+8000
Jason Day+8000
Louis Oosthuizen+8000
Tommy Fleetwood+8000
Adam Scott+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Billy Horschel+10000
Gary Woodland+10000
Harold Varner III+10000
Jason Kokrak+10000
Russell Henley+10000
Sergio Garcia+10000
Talor Gooch+10000
Marc Leishman+12500
Maverick McNealy+12500
Patrick Reed+12500
Seamus Power+12500
Si Woo Kim+12500
Aaron Wise+15000
Alex Noren+15000
Brian Harman+15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+15000
Davis Riley+15000
Justin Rose+15000
K.H. Lee+15000
Kevin Na+15000
Matt Kuchar+15000
Matthew Wolff+15000
Mito Pereira+15000
Rickie Fowler+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Thomas Pieters+15000
Webb Simpson+15000
Charl Schwartzel+15000
Cameron Champ+15000
Jhonattan Vegas+15000
Adam Hadwin+20000
Bubba Watson+20000
Chris Kirk+20000
Erik van Rooyen+20000
Ian Poulter+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Lanto Griffin+20000
Luke List+20000
Robert Macintyre+20000
Ryan Palmer+20000
Tom Hoge+20000
Bernd Wiesberger+25000
Cam Davis+25000
Cameron Tringale+25000
Francesco Molinari+25000
Joohyung Kim+25000
Keith Mitchell+25000
Kevin Kisner+25000
Kevin Streelman+25000
Mackenzie Hughes+25000
Sam Horsfield+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Troy Merritt+25000
Joel Dahmen+25000
Adria Arnaus+30000
Anirban Lahiri+30000
Branden Grace+30000
Carlos Ortiz+30000
Lee Westwood+30000
Lucas Glover+30000
Lucas Herbert+30000
Matt Jones+30000
Min Woo Lee+30000
Oliver Bekker+30000
Pablo Larrazabal+30000
Stewart Cink+30000
Zach Johnson+30000
Brendan Steele+30000
Russell Knox+30000
Scott Stallings+30000
Harry Higgs+35000
Patton Kizzire+35000
Ryan Fox+35000
Chad Ramey+40000
Dean Burmester+40000
Garrick Higgo+40000
Henrik Stenson+40000
Hudson Swafford+40000
Jinichiro Kozuma+40000
Justin Harding+40000
Martin Kaymer+40000
Nicolai Hojgaard+40000
Rikuya Hoshino+40000
Ryosuke Kinoshita+40000
Beau Hossler+40000
Adam Schenk+40000
Bio Kim+50000
Chan Kim+50000
Daniel van Tonder+50000
Jason Dufner+50000
Laurie Canter+50000
Padraig Harrington+50000
Richard Bland+50000
Sadom Kaewkanjana+50000
Shaun Norris+50000
Takumi Kanaya+50000
Yuki Inamori+50000
Kramer Hickok+50000
Ryan Brehm+75000
Dylan Newman+100000
Jared Jones+100000
Jesse Mueller+100000
John Daly+100000
Kyle Mendoza+100000
Matt Borchert+100000
Michael Block+100000
Nic Ishee+100000
Paul Dickinson+100000
Rich Beem+100000
Ryan Vermeer+100000
Sean McCarty+100000
Shaun Micheel+100000
Shawn Warren+100000
Tim Feenstra+100000
Tyler Collet+100000
Wyatt Worthington ll+100000
Y.E. Yang+100000
Zac Oakley+100000
Alex Beach+150000
Austin Hurt+150000

With the AT&T Byron Nelson now in the rearview mirror, we move on to the PGA Championship.

This major championship is taking place at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma, for the first time since Tiger Woods won the PGA Championship in 2007.

Southern Hills is a Par 70, 7,556-yard track that should play difficult with the world's best competing for a major championship. The PGA Championship is known for iron play, so we will look at SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach the Green to narrow down our best bets.

We will use those metrics, along with recent form and major championship experience, to help dial in our plays for the tournament.

Below, I give out my five Round 1 PrizePicks flex plays for the 2022 PGA Championship. For those unfamiliar with PrizePicks flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs/unders generate different payouts.

Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 12.5x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout, and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.

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PGA Championship PrizePicks Plays

Jon Rahm: Round 1 Under 71 Strokes

The outright favorite to win the PGA Championship, Jon Rahm enters this tournament as the No. 2 golfer in the world. Rahm is one of the best iron players in the world, as he ranks first on TOUR in SG Tee-to-Green and 14th in SG Approach the Green.

Entering this tournament in tremendous form, Rahm has made the cut in 10 straight tournaments and is coming straight off of his win at the Mexico Open at Vidanta.

Not only has Rahm been dominating tournaments this season, but he has been outstanding in major championships, making the cut in 10 straight majors.

I would play this number down to 70.5.

Scottie Scheffler: Round 1 Under 71 Strokes

I'm also backing the other favorite to win this tournament, as Scottie Scheffler enters this weekend as the No. 1 golfer in the world. This ranking is extremely warranted after winning four tournaments already this season and making the cut in 14-of-15 events.

One could say Scheffler fared well in his most recent major championship appearance, as he slipped on the green jacket after winning the Masters. Not only did Scheffler fare well at Augusta, but he has finished inside the top 20 in seven straight major championships.

I would play this total down to 70.5.

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Dustin Johnson: Round 1 Over 72 Strokes

While Dustin Johnson is one of the world's best golfers, his performances have been very inconsistent in major championships recently. While Johnson has three top-20 finishes over his last five major championship appearances, he has missed the cut in the other two tournaments.

This course could provide trouble for Johnson, as his iron play is not on track with some of the other top names this season. Johnson ranks just 42nd on TOUR in SG Tee-to-Green and 43rd in SG Approach the Green.

I would not play this number at anything higher than 72.

Adam Scott: Round 1 Over 72 Strokes

Another golfer I'm fading in this tournament is Adam Scott.

Like Johnson, Scott's iron play this season falls short of many of the other names in this tournament, ranking just 72nd on TOUR in SG Tee-to-Green and 56th in SG Approach the Green.

Scott does not enter this tournament in spectacular form, as he has just three top-20 finishes on the season with only one of those coming over his last five tournaments. While Scott is making cuts, he's not finding himself at the top of leaderboards on a consistent basis.

I would play this total up to 72.5.

Hideki Matsuyama: Round 1 Under 71 Strokes

My favorite outright bet to win the whole tournament, Matsuyama should get off to a strong start at the PGA Championship following last week's third-place finish at the AT&T Byron Nelson.

This tournament favors Matsuyama's style of play, as he ranks ninth on TOUR in SG Tee-to-Green and sixth in SG Approach the Green.

Continuing where he left off last season, Matsuyama has been incredible for the second year in a row. Matsuyama has made the cut in 12-of-13 tournaments this season with eight top-20 finishes and two outright wins.

Last year's Masters champion, Matsuyama has been on fire when playing in major championships, making seven straight cuts with four top-20 finishes over that span.

I would play this number down to 70.5.

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