Tony Finau and Taylor Pendrith are tied atop the leaderboard with a four-stroke lead at 21-under par following the third round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth and final round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the fourth round of the 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 12.5x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Cameron Young: Round 4 Under 9.5 Fairways Hit
We are going to be fading a couple of guys off the tee box, starting with Cameron Young. After pushing on this prop at 10 in the third round, we are giving It another go on Sunday.
Entering the fourth round, Young is in third place at 17-under par after shooting a 65 on Saturday. Young went over this total in each of the first two rounds as he hit 13 fairways on Thursday and 12 on Friday.
However, as we were expecting, regression hit Young on Saturday (10 fairways) and should do so again on Sunday. On TOUR this season, Young ranks just 114th in Driving Accuracy at 59.8%, a number far below the 83.3% he has posted thus far at Detroit Golf Club.
It is not like he is in the middle of the pack with this figure either. Amongst the remaining field, Young ranks fourth in Driving Accuracy.
To make matters even more difficult for Young on Sunday, he is teeing off with the last few groups in the afternoon, a time slot that has been playing more difficult in comparison to the morning.
I would not play this total lower than 9.5.
Adam Scott: Round 4 Under 8.5 Fairways Hit
Adam Scott is in a similar situation as Young and we will also be fading him. Scott is T66 at 3-under par after shooting a 78 in the third round.
While Scott went over this total in each of the first two rounds — he hit 10 fairways on Thursday and 12 on Friday — the regression we expected hit him on Saturday as he only hit eight of 14 fairways.
On TOUR this season, Scott ranks just 166th in Driving Accuracy at 55.6%, a number below the 71.4% mark he's posted thus far at Detroit Golf Club. Scott's game went down the gutter on Saturday and I would be shocked if he gains any sort of confidence overnight.
I would play this number down to 8.
Cameron Tringale: Round 4 Over 9.5 Fairways Hit
While we are fading a few guys off the tee box on Sunday, we are also backing a couple. The first golfer whose driver we are backing Sunday is Cameron Tringale.
Entering the fourth round, Tringale is T66 at 3-under par after shooting a 73 on Saturday. While Tringale went under this total in each of the first two rounds, the positive regression that we expected came on Saturday as he landed in 11 of 14 fairways.
Once again a part of the morning grouping, I see no reason why Tringale won't repeat his performance.
I would play this total up to 10.
Adam Hadwin: Round 4 Over 10 Fairways Hit
The other golfer we are backing off the tee box on Sunday is Adam Hadwin, who is T60 at 5-under par after shooting a 72 on Saturday. Hadwin has hit at least 10 fairways in each of the first three rounds, a trend I expect to continue in the fourth round.
On TOUR this season, Hadwin ranks 40th in Driving Accuracy at 64.7%. Expected to tee off at 7:30 a.m., Hadwin could find success with the big stick one more time.
I would not play this number any higher than 10.
Sahith Theegala: Round 4 Over 69 Strokes
Sahith Theegala sits T29 at 8-under par after shooting a 73 on Saturday. Following his worst day of the tournament, I expect further regression for Theegala.
The only club in Theegala's bag that has truly kept him inside the top 30 is his putter as he ranks sixth amongst the remaining field in SG: Putting. However, the rest of his game has been fade worthy.
Through the first three rounds, Theegala ranks just 63rd in SG: Around-the-Green, 29th in SG: Approach-the-Green, 71st in SG: Off-the-Tee, 66th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 49th in GIR%. Could his putter keep him under this total once again? Absolutely. However, it is much more likely the rest of his game will be too much for his putter to save.
I would play this total up to 69.5.
