2022 RSM Classic Odds, Expert Picks & Preview: Justin Rose, Davis Riley & Trey Mullinax Combine Course Fit and Value

The final full-field PGA TOUR event in 2022 is upon us as Tony Finau carries his third win in seven starts into this week's RSM Classic after a dominating performance at the Houston Open. Finau closed the door on the week by cruising to a four-shot win.

The TOUR heads back to to the Southeast and St. Simons Island, Georgia for their annual stop at Sea Island Golf Club for the RSM Classic. The field features newly minted World No. 12 Finau at the top, but he is the only player in the top 25 in the world set to tee it up. They will also be back to a two-course rotation as daylight savings puts a crunch on the field to beat darkness each day.

Editor's note: As of Tuesday afternoon, Tony Finau has withdrawn from the RSM Classic. 

We've seen a number of longshots come through and win this event, even into triple-digit odds in recent years. The drop off in the field may set up for another surprising winner this week, and I'll spread my card out quite a bit as I start my bets.

Murphy's Best Outright Bets

Justin Rose +4500 (FanDuel)

I'm always willing to take a bit of a stab at well established talent. There is no question that Justin Rose's game has fallen off over the past couple of years, but he has shown signs that it is still in there for a given week. We saw it this past week in Houston where he played from the final group on Sunday, even as a two-over final round dropped him to T9 on the week.

There were a lot of encouraging signs from his game during the week, and I'll look for that to carry over to a course where he finished T12 last year. The Englishman has shown a knack for getting hot on the greens, and when he pairs it with solid ball striking like he did last week, he can still put himself in the mix for a win over the weekend. I'll grab the best number available on Rose in a field that lacks in top end firepower.

Davis Riley +5000 (BetMGM)

No one has gotten more of my money this fall than Davis Riley. I figure at this point there is no reason to stop going to that well especially as it is another course fit.

Riley really wasn't a bad play last week either, he just put himself behind the proverbial eight ball when he stumbled out on Thursday with an opening round of 1-over 71. He would quickly turn that around in the second round with a fantastic 64 before a couple of over par rounds on the weekend left him T27.

I actually don't mind the volatility he is showing as at this level it can be a sign of things starting to come together. If that happens at Sea Island, he'll be in the hunt again for that elusive first win.

Trey Mullinax +9000 (BetRivers)

I looked hard at the number on Trey Mullinax last week as he was a player trending up to close out last season and was a popular name where we expected some big things this fall. Unfortunately, his play didn't carry over to the new season at the start of the fall swing as he missed the cut in his first two events and finished near dead last at THE CJ CUP.

The Alabama alum turned things back around last week in Houston where he finished T4 with six Strokes Gained from Tee to Green and 3.4 Strokes Gained on Approach. He has shown to be a bit of a streaky player, often pairing top finishes together, and that's what I'll look for this week at nearly triple-digit odds.

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