Thomas Detry and Mackenzie Hughes are T1 and hold a one-stroke lead (10-under) following the second round of the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Now, we look forward to Saturday's third round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the third round of the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers an 8x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 1.5x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
Sanderson Farms Championship Round 3 PrizePicks Plays
Thomas Detry: Round 3 Under 70 Strokes
The Country Club of Jackson has hosted this tournament annually since 2014. This course is a par 72, 7,461-yard track that was redesigned by John Fought in 2008 and incorporates some Donald Ross signatures.
In typical Ross fashion, there are many small, undulating greens that reward strong ball strikers who can put the ball close and avoid long putts. Looking at the previous winners of this tournament, SG: Tee-to-Green and Greens in Regulation percentage (GIR%) are the top two predictors of success at this course.
As I mentioned above, Detry is T1 at 10-under after the first two rounds. After shooting a 67 on both Thursday and Friday, we should expect his strong play to continue through the weekend.
Once off the tee box, he has arguably been the most well-rounded golfer on the course this week. Amongst the remaining field, Detry ranks inside the top 10 in SG: Putting, SG: Around-the-Green, SG: Approach-the-Green, SG: Tee-to-Green and GIR%.
To put those rankings in perspective, there is not another golfer this week that ranks in the top 10 in four of those categories, let alone all five. This impressive display of golf is not surprising for the 29-year-old from Belgium.
Last week, he finished T12 at the Fortinet Championship. At that tournament, his ball striking was on display as he finished 10th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 26th in GIR%.
Now that he has his TOUR card, Detry should be a name to follow this season. When given the opportunity in the United States, he has been outstanding. He's made the cut in each of his past six TOUR events and finished inside the top 35 each time.
I would play this total down to 69.5.
Seamus Power: Round 3 Under 70.5 Strokes
Power is T60 at 2-under through two rounds. While he has failed to get under this total in each of the first two rounds, we should expect a better weekend from Power.
On TOUR last season, Power ranked 76th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 27th in GIR%. Additionally, he enters this week in strong form as he has made five of his past eight cuts.
Of those five made cuts, four resulted in top-25 finishes, including a top-10 finish at the PGA Championship. In an obviously much more watered-down field, Power is one of the better ball strikers in this tournament.
On top of that, the Country Club of Jackson is a course he has previously played well. Through five career appearances at this track, Power has a trio of top-30 finishes.
I would not play this number any lower than 70.5.
Chris Kirk: Round 3 Over 7.5 Fairways Hit
We are also backing a few golfers off the tee box on Saturday, starting with Kirk, who is T46 at 3-under.
After hitting eight or more fairways in each of the first two rounds, we should expect Kirk's strong driving to continue. The driver was arguably Kirk's best club last season as he finished 35th on TOUR in SG: Off-the-Tee and 36th in Driving Accuracy.
Kirk should be more than comfortable at this course on Saturday considering how he has previously performed at the Country Club of Jackson. Through five career appearances at this track, he has made four cuts, including a second-place finish in 2016.
Emiliano Grillo: Round 3 Over 7.5 Fairways Hit
Another golfer we are backing off the tee box in the third round is Grillo, who is T10 at 6-under. Grillo hit seven fairways on Thursday, eight on Friday and I expect Saturday to be more like Friday.
The driver was undoubtedly the strongest part of Grillo's game last season as he finished 18th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 41st in Driving Accuracy. That strong driving carried into last week's Fortinet Championship, where Grillo finished T25 and ranked 19th in SG: Off-the-Tee.
In that tournament, he averaged eight fairways hit per round. Like Kirk, Grillo should be comfortable at this course as he has made the cut in all three of his previous appearances here and finished inside the top 40 each time.
Davis Riley: Round 3 Over 7 Fairways
The last golfer we are backing Saturday is Riley, who is T7 at 7-under. Like Grillo, Riley's driving improved between the first two rounds as he hit six fairways on Thursday and seven on Friday.
Also like Kirk and Grillo, Riley's strongest club last season was his driver as he ranked 41st on TOUR in SG: Off-the-Tee and 67th in Driving Accuracy. While he did not make the cut last week at the Fortinet Championship, he averaged 7.5 fairways hit per round.
Books are expecting some more positive regression from Riley with the total set at seven and I would have to agree with that sentiment based on his history of strong driver play. The weather is also expected to be perfect, which can only help our cause.
