Xander Schauffele is in first place with a two-stroke lead at 7-under par following the third round of the Scottish Open. Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth and final round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the fourth round of the 2022 Scottish Open. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers an 12.5x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Xander Schauffele: Round 4 Under 68.5 Strokes
Schauffele is in first place at 7-under par after shooting a 66 on Saturday. After successfully hitting his under in that round, I am going back to the well.
Schauffele's game has been extremely dialed in all tournament, outside of some inconsistent putting. As I predicted for the third round, his putts started to fall and once they did, Schauffele shot up into first place.
However, Schauffele's putting is still not where I think It could be, which is why we are backing him once again. Schauffele ranks 38th amongst the remaining field in SG: Putting.
The rest of his game has been outstanding as Schauffele ranks fifth in SG: Around-the-Green, seventh in SG: Approach-the-Green, 17th in SG: Off-the-Tee and first in SG: Tee-to-Green. If those putts continue to improve as they did on Saturday, then Schauffele should be present for the trophy ceremony at the end of Sunday's round.
I would play this total down to 68.
Jordan Spieth: Round 4 Under 69 Strokes
I am backing another golfer who we hit the under with on Saturday. Jordan Spieth is T3 at 4-under par after shooting a 66 on Saturday.
Like Schauffele, Spieth's entire game has been dominant outside of his putter as he ranks just 37th amongst the remaining field in SG: Putting. However, he also ranks 13th in SG: Around-the-Green, 18th in SG: Approach-the-Green, 10th in SG: Off-the-Tee and third in SG: Tee-to-Green.
Also like Schauffele, those putts finally started to fall on Saturday, which allowed him to jump up the leaderboard. Assuming the rest of Spieth's game remains dominant, he will just need to be average with his putter on Sunday to get us under this number.
I would play this number down to 68.5.
Matt Fitzpatrick: Round 4 Under 69 Strokes
The last golfer we are backing on Sunday is Matt Fitzpatrick. Currently, Fitzpatrick is T6 at 3-under par after shooting a 70 on Saturday.
Similar to the two guys mentioned above, Fitzpatrick's game has been dominant outside of his putter as he ranks just 38th amongst the remaining field in SG: Putting. In terms of the rest of Fitzpatrick's metrics, he ranks sixth in SG: Around-the-Green, 13th in SG: Off-the-Tee and sixth in SG: Tee-to-Green.
Fitzpatrick has emerged as one of the world's top players and his putter has been solid all season, so that metric should improve. Entering this week, Fitzpatrick has finished inside the top-10 in four of his past five tournaments and is coming off a win at the U.S. Open.
I would not play this total any lower than 69.
Cameron Tringale: Round 4 Over 70.5 Strokes
We will also be fading a couple of golfers on Sunday, starting with Cameron Tringale, who is T6 at 3-under par after shooting a 74 on Saturday.
This is another play that we hit on Saturday that we are taking once again because his regression was extremely predictable. After an unsustainable first round that was anchored by an extreme putting performance, Tringale was at the top of the leaderboard.
However, the rest of his game has been fade-worthy as he ranks just 53rd amongst the remaining field in SG: Around-the-Green, 32nd in SG: Approach-the-Green, 39th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 42nd in SG: Tee-to-Green. It is extremely difficult to rely on a putter to carry the entire weight of your game, which is why he had an awful Saturday and why I think he will struggle once again on Sunday.
I would play this number up to 71.
Jon Rahm: Round 4 Over 69 Strokes
The other golfer we are fading in the final round is Jon Rahm. Currently, Rahm is T53 at 4-over par after shooting a 74 on Saturday.
As much as I hate to fade one of the world's best players, especially at a semi-links course, Rahm is off his game this week and this number is too low due to his name. There is not one aspect of Rahm's game that gives me faith for positive regression on Sunday as he ranks just 40th amongst the remaining field in SG: Putting, 39th in SG: Around-the-Green, 61st in SG: Approach-the-Green, 42nd in SG: Off-the-Tee and 55th in SG: Tee-to-Green.
I would play this total up to 69.5.
