Patrick Cantlay and Tom Kim are tied for first place and hold a three-stroke lead (19-under) following the third round of the Shriners Children's Open.
Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth round, which features plenty of prop angles on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the fourth round of the 2022 Shriners Children's Open. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 10x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
"}" data-sheets-userformat="{"2":513,"3":{"1":0},"12":0}">
Shriners Children's Open Round 4 PrizePicks Plays
Tom Kim: Round 4 Under 66.5 Strokes
TPC Summerlin has hosted this tournament annually for the past 25 years. This course is a par-71, 7,255-yard track that was designed by Bobby Weed.
Looking at the previous winners of this tournament, strong iron play is the biggest predictor of success, specifically finishing high in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach-the-Green. After successfully hitting on this prop in the third round, we are going back to the well once again.
As mentioned in the intro, Tom Kim is tied for the lead with Patrick Cantlay at 19-under. Kim has gone under this total in two of the first three rounds, and we should expect him to close out strong on Sunday.
Kim’s metrics did not qualify for an official ranking last season because he only played in 11 events. However, his iron play was phenomenal and, if he qualified, he would have ranked 26th in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach-the-Green.
Prior to his stellar performance at the Presidents Cup, Kim ended last season in tremendous form as he made eight straight cuts with five top-25 finishes and one win (Wyndham Championship). On the brink of superstardom, look for the 20-year-old to be at the top of leaderboards numerous times this season.
I would play this total down to 66.
Beau Hossler: Round 4 Over 68 Strokes
The one golfer we are fading on Sunday is Beau Hossler. Entering the fourth round, Hossler is T13 at 12-under.
However, regression is looming, as his putter has saved him all week. Ranking third in SG: Putting, Hossler is going to be in big trouble if some of those putts start to miss.
Among the remaining field, he ranks just 61st in SG: Approach-the-Green, 52nd in SG: Tee-to-Green, and 52nd in GIR%. At a course where strong iron play is necessary, regression is bound to hit Hossler on Sunday.
On TOUR last season, he finished 190th in SG: Approach-the-Green and 169th in SG: Tee-to-Green. Can his putting save him once again?
It's possible as Hossler is a very strong putter, but It is more likely that the rest of his game catches up to him.
I would play this number up to 68.5.
Sungjae Im: Round 4 Over 10 Fairways Hit
We are going to be backing a few players off the tee box on Sunday. In another repeat play from Saturday, we are going to back Sungjae Im once again.
Entering the fourth round, Im is T5 at 15-under. The defending champion of this course, Im has hit at least 10 fairways in four of his past seven rounds at TPC Summerlin.
While he has only eclipsed this number once in this year's tournament, we should expect positive regression from an excellent driver. On TOUR last season, Im finished eighth in SG: Off-the-Tee and 27th in Driving Accuracy.
This total is set at 10 for a reason and I agree with the books that positive regression is looming for one of the TOUR’s best drivers and the defending champion of this track.
I would not play this total above 10.
Si Woo Kim: Round 4 Over 10.5 Fairways Hit
In our last repeat play from Saturday, we are backing Si Woo Kim to get over his driving total once again. Entering Sunday, Kim is T7 at 14-under.
Kim has hit at least 11 fairways in four of his past five rounds at TPC Summerlin, a trend I expect to continue on Sunday. On TOUR last season, he finished 44th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 42nd in Driving Accuracy.
This is a course where Kim should feel comfortable because of his prior success. Prior to this week, he had made four of five cuts at TPC Summerlin with three top-25 finishes, including his eighth-place finish in 2020.
I would not play this number higher than 10.5.
Emiliano Grillo: Round 4 Over 9.5 Fairways Hit
The final guy we are backing off the tee box in the fourth round is Emiliano Grillo. While Grillo is currently in last place, he has still been hitting fairways as he has hit 10 in each of his last two rounds.
We are getting value in this number because of his current spot on the leaderboard, but that should not hinder his ability to find fairways. On TOUR last season, he finished 18th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 41st in Driving Accuracy.
His current position is actually a big advantage for us as he will be one of the first guys to tee off on Sunday. Through the first three rounds, the morning wave has outperformed the afternoon.
I would play this total up to 10.
