Xander Schauffele is in first place with a one-stroke lead at 17-under par following the third round of the Travelers Championship. Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth and final round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the fourth round of the 2022 Travelers Championship. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 12.5x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Scottie Scheffler: Round 4 Under 66.5 Strokes
After hitting this prop on Saturday, I am going back to the well. Scheffler is T11 at 10-under par after shooting a 65 in the third round.
As I mentioned in the article linked above, Scheffler was due for some positive regression over the weekend as his putter was his only detriment through the first two rounds. As expected, Scheffler's putts started to fall on Saturday and should continue to do so on Sunday.
Outside of his putting, which should improve, Scheffler has dominated in every other aspect of his game. Amongst the remaining field, Scheffler ranks sixth in SG: Around-the-Green, third in SG: Off-the-Tee, and fourth in SG: Tee-to-Green.
I would play this total down to 66.
Keegan Bradley: Round 4 Under 67.5 Strokes
We are going back to the well on another prop that we successfully hit on Saturday as Keegan Bradley should be in store for yet another good round. Bradley is T31 at 6-under par after shooting a 66 on Saturday.
While Bradley's metrics thus far put him right around where he is sitting, I would not be shocked if climbs the leaderboard once again Sunday. Iron play is essential at TPC River Highlands, as evidenced by the past five winners at this tournament.
Here is how the previous five champions ranked amongst their field in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach-the-Green: 3rd/32nd, 7th/7th, 2nd/1st, 2nd/29th and 1st/9th. Clearly, iron play is essential at this course.
This should be beneficial for Bradley as he has been excellent with his irons this season. On TOUR, Bradley ranks 24th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 38th in SG: Approach-the-Green.
I would play this number down to 67.
Harris English: Round 4 Over 68 Strokes
The last play we are replicating that we hit on Saturday is fading the defending champion of this tournament, Harris English. Currently, English is T11 at 10-under par after shooting a 69 on Saturday.
Through the first three rounds of this tournament, English's metrics have been awful outside of his putting as he has been draining everything. Amongst the remaining field, English ranks eighth in SG: Putting.
However, English ranks just 42nd in SG: Approach-the-Green, 67th in SG: Off-the-Tee, and 37th in SG: Tee-to-Green. While it is plausible that his putter keeps him hanging around once again Sunday, it is far more likely that it regresses and he goes over this total for the second straight round.
I would play this total up to 68.5.
Xander Schauffele: Round 4 Over 66.5 Strokes
As I mentioned in the intro, Schauffele is in first place at 17-under par after shooting a 67 on Saturday. After shooting a 63 in each of the first two rounds, Schauffele came back down to earth in the third round and went over this total.
I believe we will get a similar performance Sunday as his metrics took a big dip entering the weekend. Between rounds two and three, Schauffele saw a 42% decrease in SG: Putting, a 89% decrease in SG: Approach-the-Green, a 120% decrease in SG: Off-the-Tee and a 108% decrease in SG: Tee-to-Green.
This has been a recurring theme for Schauffele this season as he starts to falter during the weekend. We saw this occur at the Genesis Invitational, the Valspar Championship and the U.S. Open.
I would not play this number at anything higher than 66.5.
Patrick Cantlay: Round 4 Under 66.5 Strokes
The last golfer I am backing in this tournament is the guy right on Schauffele's heels, Patrick Cantlay. Currently, Cantlay is in second place at 16-under par after shooting a 63 on Saturday.
Cantlay has been outstanding across the board through the first three rounds, so I would be shocked if we see any regression Sunday. Amongst the remaining field, Cantlay ranks 12th in SG: Putting, 15th in SG: Around-the-Green, 19th in SG: Approach-the-Green, fifth in SG: Off-the-Tee, and sixth in SG: Tee-to-Green.
Going under this number in two of the first three rounds, we should expect to see another consistent round from Cantlay as he looks to overtake Schauffele and capture his second victory of the season.
I would play this total down to 66.
