Xander Schauffele is currently T1 with a commanding five-stroke lead at 14-under par following the second round of the Travelers Championship. Now, we look forward to Saturday's third round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the third round of the 2022 Travelers Championship. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 12.5x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Rory McIlroy: Round 3 Under 66.5 Strokes
Currently, Rory McIlroy is T7 at 8-under par after shooting a 70 on Friday. That being said, I expect a big bounce back from McIlroy on Saturday.
McIlroy has dominated this tournament except for a meltdown on two holes on Friday. Recording a quadruple bogey on 12 and a double bogey on 15, McIlroy's round was ruined as he shot a 39 on the back.
However, McIlroy was once again on pace for another great day as he was 4-under par at the turn. On Thursday, McIlroy shot a 62, a score much more consistent with his play this tournament if you take out those two massively-outlier holes.
I would play this total down to 66.
Scottie Scheffler: Round 3 Under 66.5 Strokes
Another powerhouse golfer I am backing Saturday is Scottie Scheffler. Currently, Scheffler is T24 at 5-under par after shooting a 67 on Friday.
While Scheffler has failed to break this total in each of the first two rounds, we should see some positive regression over the weekend. Scheffler's putter, which certainly will figure itself out, was his only detriment through the first two rounds.
Amongst the field, Scheffler ranks just 119th in SG: Putting through the first two rounds. However, the rest of his game has been outstanding as he ranks 17th in SG: Around-the-Green, 64th in SG: Approach-the-Green, fifth in SG: Off-the-Tee, and eighth in SG: Tee-to-Green.
Additionally, Scheffler ranks third in Greens in Regulation and 11th in Driving Accuracy. Those putts will start falling for Scheffler and when they do he should be able to fly back up the leaderboard.
I would not play this number any lower than 66.5.
Keegan Bradley: Round 3 Under 68 Strokes
The last golfer I am backing on Saturday is Keegan Bradley. Currently, Bradley is T60 at 2-under par after shooting a 69 on Friday.
While Bradley's metrics thus far put him right around where he is sitting, I would not be shocked if he gets better play from his irons on Saturday. Iron play is essential at TPC River Highlands, as evidenced by the last five winners at this tournament.
Here is how the previous five champions ranked amongst their field in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach-the-Green: 3rd/32nd, 7th/7th, 2nd/1st, 2nd/29th, and 1st/9th. Clearly, iron play is essential at this course.
This should be beneficial for Bradley as he has been excellent with his irons this season. On TOUR, Bradley ranks 24th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 38th in SG: Approach-the-Green.
I would not play this total lower than 68.
Harris English: Round 3 Over 67 Strokes
I am also fading a couple of golfers on Saturday, starting with last year's champion, Harris English. Currently, English is T2 at 9-under par after shooting a 65 on Friday.
That being said, English's metrics on Friday were awful outside of his putting as he was draining everything. Amongst the field on Friday, English ranked fifth in SG: Putting.
However, the rest of his game struggled as English ranked just 61st in SG: Around-the-Green, 66th in SG: Approach-the-Green, 95th in SG: Off-the-Tee, and 66th in SG: Tee-to-Green. That 65 is not sustainable with those metrics and we could see some big regression on Saturday if the rest of his game struggles again.
I would not play this number higher than 67.
Webb Simpson: Round 3 Over 67.5 Strokes
The other golfer I am fading Saturday is Webb Simpson. Currently, Simpson is T16 at 7-under par after shooting a 69 on Friday.
Friday was a much tougher day for Simpson as he dropped six strokes relative to Thursday, a trend that could continue into the weekend. With momentum obviously not on his side, Simpson would need a big bounceback to go under this total as his metrics took a massive dip Friday.
Between rounds one and two, Simpson saw a 124% decrease in SG: Putting, a 251% decrease in SG: Around-the-Green, a 31% decrease in SG: Approach-the-Green, a 6% decrease in SG: Off-the-Tee and a 58% decrease in SG: Tee-to-Green. With a decrease in production across every single metric, I would be shocked if Simpson bounces back by a two-stroke margin on Saturday.
I would play this total up to 68.
