Keegan Bradley holds a two-shot lead at 8-under par after shooting a 67 on Saturday at TPC Potomac. Now, we look forward to Sunday's fourth round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five Round 4 PrizePicks flex plays for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship. For those unfamiliar with PrizePicks flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 10x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Keegan Bradley: Round 4 Over 9 Fairways Hit
Keegan Bradley currently sits in first place, which is a big benefit for this prop to go over. If he holds the lead, especially after the turn, he will play conservatively and look for safe shots down the middle of the fairway, even if it costs him some distance.
Bradley has gone over this total in each of the first three rounds and ranks fifth amongst the remaining field in Driving Accuracy. His driver has been on fire all tournament as he ranks fifth in SG Off the Tee. I do not expect to see much regression in the fourth round.
I would play this number up to 9.5.
Abraham Ancer: Round 4 Over 10 Fairways Hit
Another golfer I am backing to keep hitting fairways is Abraham Ancer, who sits tied for 39th at 3-over par. Ancer's driver has kept him alive this tournament and he ranks fourth amongst the remaining field in Driving Accuracy.
After going over this total in each of the first three rounds, there is no reason to believe Ancer will not do so again. This season, Ancer ranks sixth on TOUR in Driving Accuracy.
I would not play this number at anything higher than 10.
Max Homa: Round 4 Under 70.5 Strokes
I discussed in my article earlier this week how the three biggest indicators of success at this course were SG: Tee-to-Green, SG: Approach, and Driving Accuracy. Max Homa sits in second place at 6-under par due to his success in these categories.
Amongst the remaining field, Homa ranks eighth in SG: Tee-to-Green, sixth in SG: Approach and fifth in Driving Accuracy. I believe we are getting great value in a number that is an overreaction to Saturday's 71 as Homa's metrics suggest he should rebound from that performance.
I would not play this total at anything lower than 70.5.
Tyrrell Hatton: Round 4 Over 71 Strokes
Tyrrell Hatton is tied for 31st at 2-over par following Saturday's 76. While Hatton has only gone over 71 strokes once in this tournament, his metrics suggest he will struggle once again in the fourth round.
Hatton ranks just 35th amongst the remaining field in SG: Tee-to-Green, 50th in SG: Approach and 23rd in Driving Accuracy. Hatton's driver has been his nemesis all season as he ranks 148th on TOUR in SG: Off-the-Tee and 179th in Driving Accuracy.
I would not play this number above 71.
Si Woo Kim: Round 4 Under 71 Strokes
Si Woo Kim is tied for 13th at even-par following Saturday's 70. Kim has gone under this total now in two of the first three rounds and should be in a great spot to do so once again in the fourth.
Amongst the remaining field, Kim ranks seventh in SG: Tee-to-Green, fifth in SG: Approach and 26th in Driving Accuracy. That being said, I would not play this number at anything lower than 71.
