Russell Henley is in sole possession of first place and holds a three-stroke lead (16-under) following the second round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba.
Now, we look forward to Saturday’s third round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks.
Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts.
Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 10x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba Round 3 PrizePicks Plays
Aaron Wise: Round 3 Under 67.5 Strokes
For the 16th consecutive year, El Camaleon Golf Course at the Mayakoba Resort in Playa del Carmen, Mexico is hosting this event. Looking at the top of previous leaderboards, the metrics that indicate the biggest likelihood of success at this course include SG: Putting and Greens in Regulation percentage (GIR%).
A shorter course, El Camaleon is a par-71, 7,034-yard track that benefits strong green players. We are going to be backing a few golfers on Saturday, starting with Aaron Wise, who is T55 at 4-under.
After shooting a 67 on Thursday and a 71 on Friday, we should expect Saturday to go more like the first round for Wise.
There is no ShotLink data available for this event, which means knowledge of golfers’ styles and metrics from past events/seasons will be the primary way we handicap this tournament. On TOUR this season, Wise ranks 19th in SG: Putting and 21st in GIR%.
Wise enters this tournament in great form as he has made seven straight cuts dating back to last season. This season, he is two-for-two on made cuts, including his sixth-place finish at THE CJ CUP in South Carolina.
At El Camaleon, he has made four of the past five cuts, with all three of the previously made cuts resulting in T15 finishes. In 2020, Wise finished in second place at this tournament.
I would play this total down to 67.
Seamus Power: Round 3 Under 68 Strokes
Another golfer we are backing in the third round is Seamus Power, who is T22 at 7-under.
After shooting a 68 or lower in each of the first two rounds, we should expect Power to keep it going over the weekend. Power is off to a strong start this season and has made three of four cuts. He's also coming directly off his victory at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
On TOUR this season, he ranks 12th in SG: Putting. On TOUR last season, he ranked 40th in SG: Putting and 27th in GIR%.
Power has played well at El Camaleon as he finished 11th last season and 28th in 2016. Power has now shot a 68 or better in each of his past six rounds on this course.
I would play this number down to 67.5.
Collin Morikawa: Round 3 Over 9.5 Fairways Hit
We are also going to back a couple of golfers off the tee box on Saturday, starting with Collin Morikawa, who is T14 at 8-under.
Part of his good scoring this week is the direct result of an accurate driver. Morikawa is averaging 11 fairways hit through the first two rounds and we should expect him to keep it going over the weekend.
On TOUR this season, Morikawa ranks eighth in driving accuracy percentage. Last year, he finished 29th in driving accuracy percentage at an excellent 65.3%.
I would play this total up to 10.
Matt Kuchar: Round 3 Over 8.5 Fairways Hit
The other golfer we are backing off the tee box is Matt Kuchar. Entering the third round, Kuchar is T9 at 9-under and is averaging seven fairways hit per round.
Despite a poor start to the week, positive regression should hit for Kuchar on Saturday. Last year at El Camaleon, he averaged over 10 fairways hit on his way to a T22 finish.
Kuchar's history of excellent driver play should play into this expected positive regression. On TOUR this season, Kuchar ranks 37th in driving accuracy percentage.
Last year, he finished 50th in driving accuracy at 63.5%.
I would not play this number higher than 8.5.
Scottie Scheffler: Round 3 Under 8 Fairways Hit
We are also fading one golfer, Scottie Scheffler, off the tee box on Saturday. Scheffler is T29 at 6-under and averaging six fairways hit per round.
I'm not expecting positive regression for Scheffler over the weekend. Last season, he averaged eight fairways hit across four rounds at El Camaleon.
While Scheffler is one of the best golfers on the planet, it's not because of his driving. On TOUR last season, he ranked 100th in driving accuracy percentage at a mere 59.9%.
I would play this total down to 7.5.
