2023 the Memorial Tournament Updated Odds & Expert Picks: Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Shane Lowry & Si Woo Kim at Muirfield Village

2023 the Memorial Tournament Updated Odds & Expert Picks: Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Shane Lowry & Si Woo Kim at Muirfield Village article feature image
Credit:

Via Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Hideki Matsuyama of Japan looks on after hitting his shot from the fourth tee during the final round of the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill Country Club on May 21, 2023 in Rochester, New York.

Click arrow to expand the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday odds via bet365
GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+700
Jon Rahm+750
Patrick Cantlay+1100
Xander Schauffele+1500
Rory McIlroy+1500
Viktor Hovland+2000

GolferOdds
Collin Morikawa+2700
Justin Thomas+2700
Jason Day+2700
Tyrrell Hatton+2700
Sungjae Im+3500
Cameron Young+3500
Jordan Spieth+3800
Matt Fitzpatrick+3800
Hideki Matsuyama+3800
Rickie Fowler+3800
Sam Burns+4500
Corey Conners+5000
Shane Lowry+5500
Sahith Theegala+5500
Adam Scott+5500
Si Woo Kim+5500
Wyndham Clark+6000
Russell Henley+6000
Tom Kim+6500
Keegan Bradley+7500

GolferOdds
Keith Mitchell+11000
Emiliano Grillo+11000
Matt Kuchar+11000
Gary Woodland+11000
Cameron Davis+11000
Denny McCarthy+11000
Harris English+11000
Kurt Kitayama+12000
Brian Harman+14000
Chris Kirk+14000
Billy Horschel+14000
Byeong-Hun An+14000
Ryan Fox+14000
Adam Hadwin+14000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+14000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+14000
Lucas Herbert+14000
Tom Hoge+14000
Seamus Power+16500
Taylor Montgomery+17500
Stephan Jaeger+17500
Patrick Rodgers+17500
Kevin Streelman+17500
J.J. Spaun+17500
Hayden Buckley+17500
Sepp Straka+18500
Thomas Detry+20000
Adam Schenk+20000

GolferOdds
Nicolai Hojgaard+22500
Davis Riley+22500
Beau Hossler+22500
Alex Smalley+22500
Eric Cole+22500
Adam Svensson+22500
Justin Suh+22500
J.T. Poston+25000
Brendon Todd+25000
Brandon Wu+25000
Will Gordon+25000
Andrew Putnam+25000
Joseph Bramlett+30000
Alex Noren+30000
S.H. Kim+30000
Luke List+30000
Taylor Pendrith+30000
Austin Eckroat+30000
Sam Bennett+32500
Akshay Bhatia+32500
Ben Griffin+32500
Sam Stevens+32500
Mackenzie Hughes+32500
Mark Hubbard+35000
Robby Shelton+35000
Joel Dahmen+35000
Sam Ryder+35000
Matthew Nesmith+35000
Matt Wallace+40000
Garrick Higgo+45000
Davis Thompson+45000
Lee Hodges+45000
Danny Willett+45000
Scott Stallings+45000
Stewart Cink+45000
Nick Hardy+45000
Francesco Molinari+45000

GolferOdds
David Lipsky+50000
Chez Reavie+60000
Christopher Gotterup+60000
Lanto Griffin+60000
Brandt Snedeker+60000
MJ Daffue+75000
Lucas Glover+75000
David Micheluzzi+75000
Adam Long+75000
Chad Ramey+75000
Justin Lower+100000
Kevin Kisner+100000
Zach Johnson+100000
Peter Malnati+100000
Aldrich Potgieter+100000
Ben Taylor+100000
Thriston Lawrence+100000
Trey Mullinax+100000
Nicolas Echavarria+125000
David Lingmerth+125000
Luke Donald+125000
Kazuki Higa+125000
Troy Merritt+200000
Dylan Frittelli+200000
K.J. Choi+300000
William McGirt+300000
Jason Dufner+300000
Bo Hoag+300000

With the PGA Championship and the Charles Schwab Challenge in the rearview mirror and the U.S. Open on the horizon, the PGA Tour features another elevated event this week with the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday.

The Course

Muirfield Village Golf Club has been the host of the Memorial since 1976. It plays fairly long, clocking in at just over 7,500 yards for a par-72.

The length may make people think distance will trump all, but the rough and water hazards still make precision off the tee important. Success has typically come from players with strong all-around games like Patrick Cantlay. Justin Rose and Hideki Matsuyama have also put together strong track records here.

Those guys are all solid off the tee, but I wouldn’t really classify them as bombers. Even Matt Kuchar has figured out how to plot his way to a win and a handful of top-five finishes at Muirfield Village.

Distance helps as always. but not at the expense of accuracy, and players usually need to find a happy medium between the two.

The Favorites

Scottie Scheffler sits atop the board here at +600 with his game in perfect shape and as an excellent fit for what is required this week. He's long and accurate off the tee, the approach game is dialed in and he's great around the greens. The putter is the only concern with him, but this is a course where the greens are challenging anyway.

Jon Rahm is right behind at +700 and already has a win here (and he would have two if not for the Covid WD in 2021 when he was leading by six strokes after 54 holes). These two at the top will definitely make it even more challenging down the board than it already is.

If that wasn't enough, we have two-time winner Patrick Cantlay at +1000 (albeit one of those wins was the Rahm WD), but he's shown that this is one of his best courses — if not the best — on tour.

Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland all come in at that next range between +1200 and +1800. McIlroy has some decent results here, but his last top five was back in 2016. Schauffele has been his usual consistent self with four straight top 20s but no top 10s in that span. Hovland has yet to play well here at the Memorial, and this is a course where the around-the-green game needs to be in good shape. He's obviously struggled with that aspect in the past, but we'll see if it's improved enough to make a jump here.

The +2000s include Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Speith and Cameron Young. Morikawa won on this course during the COVID year at the Workday Charity Open (although it wasn't this event).

I'd look to him more than any other player in this range, although we haven't seen the best golf from the rest of this talented group. No one really has a string of results up to their standards, and with three players ahead of them who clearly like this course, it's tough to bet any of them when it appears they may not be at their best.

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The Midtier

I'll take a couple shots down here and hope that Scheffler and/or Rahm don't run away with this thing.

We'll start with Hideki Matsuyama at +4000 at FanDuel. This is where Hideki got his breakthrough win in 2014, and he's also had a few other strong finishes in 2015 and 2019. The course fits well because of the emphasis on a complete ball-striking game. Hideki is also great around the greens, even though he tends to miss more of the 4-footers he creates than most.

Pick: Hideki Matsuyama Outright +4000

I'll follow up with Shane Lowry at +5500. Lowry had a great ball-striking week at the PGA, where he finished 12th, and has a couple top-15 finishes here. Short game has been the concern, with the putter really not cooperating very often of late.

Pick: Shane Lowry Outright +5500

Next up, I'll go with Si Woo Kim at +6600. Si Woo has been accurate with the driver this year and solid with his irons. He's also found a bit more success in recent years at the Memorial with three straight top 20s.

Pick: Si Woo Kim Outright +6600

I'm also playing Russell Henley at +7000 as well. This is more of a form play here, as Henley has five top 20s in his last six starts. He hasn't played well here recently, but his skill set should fit, and he did finish sixth once at the Memorial, although it was a decade ago in 2013.

Pick: Russell Henley Outright +7000


The Longshots

It's tough to dig too deep with the star power here, but I'm going to try Harris English at 125/1. He played well at Colonial until about the final 12 holes, which saw him drop out of the top 10. However, his irons have been in great form during his recent uptick in performance. The results are mixed here, but he has a couple of top 20s on the resume at Muirfield Village as well.

Pick: Harris English Outright +12500


About the Author
Joshua covers golf for The Action Network and has spent the past five years writing about sports and the past 10 betting them. He’s one of approximately five people who will watch the PGA Tour over the NFL in November.

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