The PGA Tour season continues with the second Signature Event of the year, the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Our Action Network golf betting experts have already peppered the board at open on Monday morning with outright bets, and they have three ready.
Find our 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outright Bets below.
2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outright Bets
Jason Sobel: Jordan Spieth +1800 (FanDuel)
This will be neither an original nor an unpopular option, as Jordan Spieth has enjoyed/endured some adventures at Pebble Beach over the years, both figuratively and literally.
From his victory at this event in 2017 to his five top-10 finishes in 10 other starts to his death-defying second shot into the eighth green two years ago that might’ve left you nauseous in your living-room recliner, Spieth has quite a history at this iconic venue – one which very obviously suits his creative eye.
That might count for more this week than most others. While nearly every world-class player in this field has some competitive rounds under his belt at Pebble – even if it was just in the 2019 U.S. Open – most have eschewed this tournament in an effort to avoid either the unseemly weather, the pro-am format, the lengthy rounds or some combination of all three.
Whether it’s a technical advantage or simply a karmic one, those who routinely show up to this event should have an edge. Emboldened by a solo third-place finish in his only previous start this year at The Sentry, Spieth should be prepared for the usual elements and ready to contend at this one once again.
Spencer Aguiar: Max Homa +1900 (bet365)
After four straight PGA Tour events with winners outside of 100-1, can we make it a fifth here at Pebble Beach?
While I do fancy the upside potential of Wyndham Clark to potentially be the golfer who can accomplish such a feat, I believe a high-end name takes down the title at this Signature Event.
My model thinks Rory McIlroy should be the favorite and didn't land too far off from being a value at some of his 7.5-1 marks in the space. However, I am going to dip a few more pegs down the board and talk about Max Homa — a golfer who does his best work when the conditions get tough.
Homa's first-place Weighted Strokes Gained: Total return gets an additional boost when diving into his top-five return for Weighted Scoring at Pebble Beach, making him an option who has dominated in California throughout his career when looking into his four titles.
Matt Gannon: Tommy Fleetwood +4000 (FanDuel)
Tommy Fleetwood is not a Pebble Beach regular, but I really do like his chances this week. If the PGA Tour can start the year off with four straight triple-digit winners, Fleetwood can get his initial win on U.S. soil.
He has multiple avenues for success on a golf course like this. With the driver being less important, he can tap into his iron play, which can get scorching hot from time to time. The weather does not look amazing for the week, and if that is the case, around the green play will be amplified. Tommy is a great scrambler and thrives in difficult conditions.
At 40/1 Fleetwood is a great selection with various paths to the top.
Roberto Arguello: Nick Taylor +12000 (FanDuel)
I'm starting my card this week with a number-grab on Nick Taylor at 110-1, whom I believe has outright betting value down to 70-1 this week.
Taylor fits the mold of a strong approach player who can capitalize on scoring opportunities with short irons to the smallest greens on the PGA Tour. Because Pebble Beach has a short and angular layout, there are some forced layups on the course, and this will help neutralize Taylor's lack of distance off the tee.
The Washington Husky is strong everywhere else throughout the bag (ranking in the top 52 in Strokes Gained: Approach, Putting & Around the Green last season), so Pebble Beach is an ideal setup for him. Per Datagolf, Taylor has also gained at least one stroke putting per round on the field in six of his last 24 starts, so he has upside with his putter that could help him separate if his ball-striking is strong this week.
The three-time PGA Tour winner has had plenty of success around the Monterey Peninsula as he won this event in 2020 (by four strokes!) and has recorded top-20 finishes each of the last two years as well.
Taylor also enters in good form as he finished in a tie for seventh at the Sony Open in Hawaii a few weeks ago as he was third in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach at the most similar golf course to Pebble Beach that the PGA Tour has played early this season.
While he missed the cut in his most recent start at The American Express, I'm not putting much emphasis on that result as he was -11 through three rounds at a trio of courses where scoring was significantly easier than it will be this week and where his lack of length was a significant disadvantage.
