2025 AT&T Pebble Beach One and Done Preview, Strategy & Picks

2025 AT&T Pebble Beach One and Done Preview, Strategy & Picks article feature image
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Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Scottie Scheffler

The first Signature Event of 2025 arrives this week at the iconic Pebble Beach Golf Links, featuring world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler's season debut and a stacked field competing for a massive $20 million purse.

With $3.6 million to the winner, this tournament demands careful consideration for Golf One and Done pool players looking to maximize their potential returns.


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Field Overview & Tournament Format

The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am introduces several notable changes as a Signature Event:

  • An 80-player field featuring the PGA Tour's elite
  • No cut format across two legendary courses
  • The first two rounds split between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill
  • $20 million purse with $3.6 million to the winner
  • Amateur partners join for the first two rounds only

This elevated status makes the tournament one of the season's most lucrative non-major events, with first-place prize money only trailing The Players Championship and select player-hosted Signature Events.

AT&T Pebble Beach Picks: Field Highlights

Several compelling storylines emerge from this year's field:

The Return of the World No. 1

Scheffler makes his 2025 debut after recovering from a hand injury suffered during the holidays. Coming off a remarkable seven-win campaign in 2024, all eyes will be on his form as he tackles the challenging coastal conditions.

Notable Season Debuts

  • Rory McIlroy transitions from his early-season Middle East swing
  • Jordan Spieth returns to a venue where he's historically excelled
  • Tommy Fleetwood and Min Woo Lee make their first 2025 PGA Tour starts

Hot Hands to Watch

  • Hideki Matsuyama: Fresh off victory at The Sentry
  • Patrick Cantlay: Top-5 at The American Express
  • Justin Thomas: Runner-up at The American Express
  • Sepp Straka: Recent winner showing career-best form

Course History Specialists

  • Ludvig Aberg: Phenomenal debut in 2024 (-16 through three rounds)
  • Patrick Cantlay: Three top-12 finishes in recent years
  • Tom Hoge: Former champion with multiple top-12s
  • Justin Rose: Winner in 2023, T11 last year

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Most Popular Pebble Beach One and Done Picks

With its $3.6 million first-place prize, this event ranks among the most valuable targets for One and Done pools in 2025. Players should weigh using top options here against saving them for upcoming majors or The Players Championship.

Popular Picks & Ownership Projections

Current projections show several clear tiers of popularity:

High Ownership (15%+):

  • Patrick Cantlay

Medium Ownership (8-14%):

  • Ludvig Aberg
  • Collin Morikawa
  • Justin Thomas

Lower Ownership (4-7%):

  • Jason Day

Value Opportunities (1-3%):

  • Scottie Scheffler
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • Sung-Jae Im
  • Sam Burns
  • Tommy Fleetwood

The Scheffler Dilemma

One of the week's most intriguing strategic decisions centers on Scheffler. Despite being the betting favorite at +450, his ownership remains surprisingly low. This creates an interesting game theory opportunity, especially for pool players with multiple entries.

While his future value at events like The Players Championship and majors is undeniable, capturing him at low ownership in a $3.6 million event could prove season-defining if he continues his dominant form from 2024.

However, his form after a hand injury is a substantial question mark. That is likely contributing to his lower-than-usual pick popularity.

Pivoting to Cantlay, Thomas, or Aberg also makes sense if you want to save Scheffler for those future Signature Events.


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Who is the Best Golf One And Done Pick This Week?

Well, it depends.

It depends on the size of your field, who you have used, and who you plan to use in the future. As mentioned above, Scheffler is a great pick in larger pools where you could get a leg up on your opponents, but there's also merit to saving him for bigger events.

If you really want to maximize your Golf OAD strategy, PoolGenius has a product that will optimize your selections, weigh golfer popularity, and help give you the best chance at success.

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