2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds via BetMGM
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| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | +700 |
| Justin Thomas | +1400 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +1800 |
| Xander Schauffele | +1800 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
| Daniel Berger | +2200 |
| Dustin Johnson | +2200 |
| Sam Burns | +2500 |
| Tony Finau | +2500 |
| Scottie Scheffler | +2800 |
| Sungjae Im | +2800 |
| Brooks Koepka | +3300 |
| Marc Leishman | +3300 |
| Will Zalatoris | +3300 |
| Jordan Spieth | +4000 |
| Max Homa | +5000 |
| Patrick Reed | +5000 |
| Talor Gooch | +5000 |
| Corey Conners | +5000 |
| Francesco Molinari | +6600 |
| Jason Day | +6600 |
| Justin Rose | +6600 |
| Lanto Griffin | +6600 |
| Luke List | +6600 |
| Matthew Wolff | +6600 |
| Maverick McNealy | +6600 |
| Si Woo Kim | +6600 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +6600 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +6600 |
| Ryan Palmer | +6600 |
| Aaron Wise | +8000 |
| Cam Davis | +8000 |
| Cameron Tringale | +8000 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | +8000 |
| Billy Horschel | +8000 |
| Keegan Bradley | +8000 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +8000 |
| Tom Hoge | +8000 |
| Keith Mitchell | +10000 |
| Mito Pereira | +10000 |
| Rickie Fowler | +10000 |
| Brandt Snedeker | +10000 |
| Alex Noren | +12500 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +12500 |
| Gary Woodland | +12500 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +12500 |
| Gary Woodland | +12500 |
| Hudson Swafford | +12500 |
| Matt Jones | +12500 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +12500 |
| Patton Kizzire | +12500 |
| Adam Hadwin | +15000 |
| Adam Svensson | +15000 |
| Alex Smalley | +15000 |
| Charley Hoffman | +15000 |
| Joel Dahmen | +15000 |
| Joseph Bramlett | +15000 |
| Lee Hodges | +15000 |
| Taylor Moore | +15000 |
| Wyndham Clark | +15000 |
| Aaron Rai | +15000 |
| Cameron Champ | +15000 |
| Doug Ghim | +15000 |
| Emiliano Grillo | +15000 |
| Harry Higgs | +15000 |
| Kevin Streelman | +15000 |
| Kyle Stanley | +15000 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +15000 |
| Vincent Whaley | +15000 |
| C.T. Pan | +20000 |
| Davis Riley | +20000 |
| Dylan Frittelli | +20000 |
| Hayden Buckley | +20000 |
| Henrik Norlander | +20000 |
| Michael Thompson | +20000 |
| Nick Taylor | +20000 |
| Phil Mickelson | +20000 |
| Sahith Theegala | +20000 |
| Scott Stallings | +20000 |
| Cameron Young | +20000 |
| Chez Reavie | +20000 |
| Greyson Sigg | +20000 |
| J.J. Spaun | +20000 |
| Taylor Pendrith | +20000 |
| Adam Long | +25000 |
| Adam Schenk | +25000 |
| Camilo Villegas | +25000 |
| Danny Lee | +25000 |
| David Lipsky | +25000 |
| Dylan Wu | +25000 |
| Hank Lebioda | +25000 |
| J.T. Poston | +25000 |
| Jason Dufner | +25000 |
| John Huh | +25000 |
| Martin Laird | +25000 |
| Matthew NeSmith | +25000 |
| Paul Barjon | +25000 |
| Robert Streb | +25000 |
| Rory Sabbatini | +25000 |
| Sepp Straka | +25000 |
| Stephan Jaeger | +25000 |
| Andrew Novak | +30000 |
| Bronson Burgoon | +30000 |
| Chad Ramey | +30000 |
| James Hahn | +30000 |
| Sam Ryder | +30000 |
| Scott Piercy | +30000 |
| Tyler McCumber | +30000 |
| Austin Eckroat | +30000 |
| Max McGreevy | +35000 |
| Nick Hardy | +35000 |
| Pat Perez | +35000 |
| Trey Mullinax | +35000 |
| Anirban Lahiri | +40000 |
| Brandon Hagy | +40000 |
| Brian Stuard | +40000 |
| Brice Garnett | +40000 |
| Doc Redman | +40000 |
| Kevin Tway | +40000 |
| Peter Uihlein | +40000 |
| Richy Werenski | +40000 |
| Sung Kang | +40000 |
| Max McGreevy | +40000 |
| Peter Malnati | +40000 |
| Richy Werenski | +40000 |
| Sung Kang | +40000 |
| Jonathan Byrd | +40000 |
| Ben Kohles | +50000 |
| Brandon Wu | +50000 |
| David Skinns | +50000 |
| Jim Herman | +50000 |
| Jimmy Walker | +50000 |
| Joshua Creel | +50000 |
| Kevin Chappell | +50000 |
| Kevin Yu | +50000 |
| Michael Gligic | +50000 |
| Nick Watney | +50000 |
| Peter Malnati | +50000 |
| Scott Gutschewski | +50000 |
| Seth Reeves | +50000 |
| Justin Lower | +50000 |
| Kamaiu Johnson | +50000 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +50000 |
| Martin Trainer | +50000 |
| Michael Block | +50000 |
| Michael Gligic | +50000 |
| Nick Watney | +50000 |
| Ryan Alford | +50000 |
| Scott Gutschewski | +50000 |
| Seth Reeves | +50000 |
| Taylor Montgomery | +50000 |
| Brent Grant | +50000 |
| Austin Cook | +60000 |
| Bill Haas | +60000 |
| Callum Tarren | +60000 |
| Chesson Hadley | +60000 |
| Justin Lower | +60000 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +60000 |
| Martin Trainer | +60000 |
| Austin Smotherman | +75000 |
| Brett Drewitt | +75000 |
| Chris Stroud | +75000 |
| Curtis Thompson | +75000 |
| Dawie van der Walt | +75000 |
| Jared Wolfe | +75000 |
| Seung Yul Noh | +75000 |
| Jared du Toit | +75000 |
| Jonas Blixt | +100000 |
| Max Sear | +100000 |
| Ryan Alford | +200000 |
| Kamaiu Johnson | +250000 |
| Michael Block | +300000 |
This weekend’s Farmers Insurance Open will feature the best field we’ve seen during the 2022 FedEx Cup season.
Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson and many of the world’s top-ranked players will be teeing it up at Torrey Pines, with the event scheduled to run Wednesday to Saturday. The TOUR hopes to attract a big audience with a Saturday finish before the NFL dominates the sports landscape on Sunday.
The influx of top talent certainly hurts the chances of a longshot winner, but it does help juice the odds for players further down the board. A group of players with momentum after a strong wraparound season or a history of strong play at Torrey Pines can be wagered on at a massive price this weekend.
Three names — all of which are being offered at +7000 or longer — stand out to me for longshot value this week:
Max Homa +8000
Max Homa enters the Farmers playing some sneaky good golf of late. His last three tournament rounds, all at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, were all sub-68. That is enough momentum to like his chances at Torrey Pines, where he has played well in the past. He posted a top-20 finish in each of the last two years at this event.
Homa has always played well in his home state of California. Each of his last two PGA TOUR wins came in the Golden State. In those wins, he showed some real skill on and around the greens, clearly thanks to some familiarity with playing on the West Coast. Homa was top-15 in Strokes Gained: putting and SG: Around the Green at his wins at the Fortinet Championship and the Genesis Invitational.
If Homa can post similar numbers this week, he’ll have a chance. In the history of this event, the winner gains 56.5 percent of his strokes on the field on and around the greens, about 6.5 percent higher than the average TOUR stop.
Francesco Molinari +10000
It has been a while since we’ve seen Molinari in the winner’s circle to end a golf tournament. His last win on TOUR was the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational.
That day, he was the World No. 7. Last week, he entered the American Express ranked 249th. His fall from the ranks has been swift and steep.
He did, however, jump back up the world rankings with a great performance in Palm Springs, earning a tie for sixth. That’s good news for Molinari entering the Farmers, where he has always excelled. Among players in this week’s field with 15 rounds at Torrey Pines South, he has the sixth-best strokes gained per round.
Last season, Molinari posted just three top-10 finishes. All three came during the PGA TOUR's winter swing through California. He played well at last week's American Express and I expect him to continue that uptick this week.
Brandt Snedeker +11000
If there is a horse for this course, it’s Sneds. In 45 career rounds at Torrey Pines South, he has gained 2.11 strokes per round on the field. Of the players in this week’s field with multiple rounds played at Torrey Pines, only Jon Rahm has fared better than Snedeker in that statistic.
In past tournaments at this course, he has shined. Snedeker has made the cut at this event seven straight years, with three top-10 finishes and a victory in that span.
Some of that success was years ago, when Snedeker was a top-50 golfer in the world, so it's worth noting that he has earned just one top-10 in the last 24 months. He did finish T3 at this event in 2020, perhaps proving that if he’s going to catch fire somewhere, it’s here at Torrey Pines.
Maybe against a stacked field he’s not the smartest bet for an outright win, which would be his first since 2018, but the smart play is to take Snedeker to make the cut or find his way into the top-20.
