It was another close call on the PGA Tour, but for the second straight week we wound up coming in as the runner-up with our Sami Valimaki +12000 ticket.
Now we move on to PGA National (The Champion), which will always have a fond place in my heart after the Keith Mitchell win in 2019.
Find my Global Golf Betting Predictions for these six different tournaments below:
- PGA Tour: Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches
- DP World Tour: SDC Championship
- LIV Golf: Jeddah
- LPGA: HSBC Women's World Championship
- Korn Ferry Tour: Argentina Open
- PGA Australia/Asian Tour: New Zealand Open
Global Golf Betting Predictions
PGA Tour: Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches
Best Bet: Luke List +5000 (BetRivers/FanDuel)
Luke List is a known commodity at this point in his career. He strikes the ball well and hits it a mile, but the putter is always a question mark.
However, something seemed to click for him on the greens during the fall. Now he's gaining strokes there too about half the time — which is quite an improvement from what we've seen throughout his career.
He's played well here in the past, losing in a playoff to Justin Thomas in 2018 and finishing 10th in 2016. He has missed his last three cuts, but those were all putting disasters. But if he's got something figured out to where he's no longer an abomination on the greens, then this is a really good price for an elite ball-striker.
Other Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches outright bets:
- Adam Svensson +5500
- Doug Ghim +7000
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000
- Lucas Glover +10000
- Maverick McNealy +10000
DP World Tour: SDC Championship
Best Bet: Nacho Elvira +5000 (BetRivers)
The DP World Tour makes a stop in South Africa this week for a combined-field event. Many of the Sunshine Tour players have spent the last month in their home country playing Challenge Tour events, so they should be comfortable with a step up in competition this week.
I'll stick to one of the stalwarts on this tour in Nacho Elvira as my favorite play. He's hit his irons pretty well over the past month or so, which has produced three finishes of 16th or better in four starts. He's coming off a runner-up finish as well last week in Kenya.
His brother Manuel is a rookie on the tour now, and both have been in good form for a while. This may be a scenario where they feed off each other's success and reach a new level on a now diluted Euro-based tour.
The weakness has been the driver, but this course isn't overly long. They try to replicate some of the Scottish links courses with the design, leading to a more strategic setup rather than a bomber's paradise.
Other SDC Championship outright bets:
- Ryan Van Velzen +5500
- Andy Sullivan +8000
- Deon Germishuys +10000
- Ockie Strydom +15000
- Dylan Naidoo +20000
LIV Golf: Jeddah
Best Bet: Paul Casey +3500 (DraftKings)
I think this is my first time playing Paul Casey since he joined LIV Golf. Last year he really didn't show any signs of life, but he's off to a strong start this year.
He's finished fifth and 11th in the first two starts and also has two top-five finishes on this course in the past.
It's tough to bet this one because Brooks Koepka has won twice here on LIV Golf, and Dustin Johnson has two other wins on the course. Couple that with Jon Rahm probably fitting here quite well despite never playing, and it could be a rough week for the outright market.
Other LIV Golf Jeddah outright bets:
- Matthew Wolff +4000
- Mito Pereira +5000
- Lucas Herbert +6000
LPGA: HSBC Women's World Championship
Best Bet: Yuka Saso +4100 (FanDuel)
I'm going back to Yuka Saso again on the LPGA Tour. She played fine last week, finishing 16th. Now we're getting a bigger number on a course where she's finished second and sixth in three starts.
Length is an advantage here, and she's one of the longer players, finishing the 2023 season seventh in Driving Distance. There are a couple more high-end players in the field this week, but overall, she's got the current form and track record here to contend.
Other HSBC Women's World Championship outright bets:
- Danielle Kang +6600
- Mone Inami +10000
- Chanettee Wannasaen +17500
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Korn Ferry Tour: Argentina Open
Best Bet: Ricky Castillo +4000 (BetRivers)
This event is on the Korn Ferry schedule for the first time, and we haven't seen it played on this course since 2016. So we basically have no track record for anyone here, so it's going to be a tough one to project.
I'll target Ricky Castillo here since the form has been really strong with a fifth and seventh in the past two tournaments. He was a high level college player at Florida who solidified his KFT status last year as a PGA Tour U grad. This season should just be a pit stop for someone of his talent on his way to a PGA Tour card next year.
He won in Wichita in his debut last summer, so he has the upside to take down a tournament like this, especially if the current form holds up.
Other Argentina Open outright bets:
- Trent Phillips +6600
- Austin Hitt +7000
- Emilio Gonzalez +8000
- Etienne Papineau +8000
- Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira +15000
PGA Australia/Asian Tour: New Zealand Open
Best Bet: Travis Smyth +2000 (bet365)
We'll close the week with this combined-field event made up of players from the Asian Tour and PGA Australia, and the wrong golfer might be favored this week.
I'm going with Travis Smyth, who sits behind Kazuma Kobori at +1200, but I believe Smyth should at least be co-favored with him. Kobori has been hot in Australia, winning three times already, but those fields really haven't had much depth.
Meanwhile Smyth has finished in the top 10 in four straight events, playing mostly on the Asian Tour with a bunch of LIV Golf guys mixed in. He's coming off a 10th place in Oman last week where six of the nine guys who beat him play on LIV.
It's been five years since he played here, but he does have a decent track record, finishing 11th and 13th in two starts.
He's a much better player now, and this is a big step down in field strength for him.
Other New Zealand Open outright bets:
- Nick Voke +5000
- Kevin Yuan +6600
- Shae Wools Cobb +15000