2018 British Open: Ian Poulter Is a Solid Bet to Finish Top-25

2018 British Open: Ian Poulter Is a Solid Bet to Finish Top-25 article feature image
Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ian Poulter

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. "Best odds value" and "Best matchup value" listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn't meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we're simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Ian Poulter's British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-3, MC, MC, N/A, T-14

Odds: +6600 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Poulter (-125) over Phil Mickelson

Tee Times: 9:59 a.m. ET (Thursday), 4:58 a.m. ET (Friday)

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The Outlook

A FedEx Cup points snafu gave Poulter a second life on the PGA Tour, and he has taken huge advantage of his opportunity. He has made 11-of-13 cuts this year, with three top 10s and a win to his credit. He has not finished outside the top 25 in his last four PGA Tour starts and had a respectable 30th-place finish last week at the Scottish Open. His ball-striking stats are much improved this year, but the putter is where Poulter makes himself dangerous. On a course where 6-10 foot par saves will be a common hurdle, Poulter is poised to pick up ground there. I see Poulter's max upside as a top-10 finish this week with top-25 being a good bet.


The Metrics

Here's how Poulter ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 30th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-46th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 17th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-32nd

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

About the Author
Former college golfer at TCU and grizzled mini tour/web.com tour veteran. Considers himself the golf version of a Rucker Park street basketball legend who never got his shot at the league.

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