Here's everything you need to know about LIV Golf Miami Picks in our betting preview for Trump National Doral.
LIV Golf Miami Picks, Betting Preview
LIV Golf heads to Miami for one last tournament before their top players get a chance to tee it up at Augusta for the Masters Tournament. They will play the Blue Monster at Trump National Doral, which is surely a test.
Florida golf requires extreme precision from tee to green as danger lurks on almost on every hole. If golfers are playing out of the fairway and hitting greens, there are scoring opportunities available. Last year, LIV Golf played one round of stroke play on this course. Carlos Ortiz shot an eight-under 64 while James Piot shot an eight-over 80, which shows how volatile Doral can be.
In years past, this course hosted PGA Tour events. The WGC-Cadillac Championship was played at Doral from 2007-2016, and winners of those tournaments include Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed and Dustin Johnson. Winners have varied from four-under par across four rounds all the way to 19-under par.
Like many Florida courses, Doral's difficulty is clearly weather reliant, and this week we should not have many issues. There will be some moderate wind but nothing too serious, so I am expecting the winning score to be somewhere around -10 after 54 holes.
Key LIV Golf Miami Stats
Total Driving
With the Blue Monster playing over 7,500 yards, Driving Distance will be important this week. Clearly playing from the fairway is priority as there is trouble all over the course. Consequently, being both long and straight off the tee is imperative this week. Below are the longest hitters off the tee by average Driving Distance thus far on LIV, but I am skipping over the golfers who have failed to hit 50% of fairways.
- Bryson DeChambeau – 320.6 yards
- Joaquin Niemann – 314.4 yards
- Dean Burmester – 312.6 yards
- Kieran Vincent – 311.5 yards
- Thomas Pieters – 309.3 yards
Greens in Regulation
This event will not be a bona fide birdie-fest like we usually see on LIV Golf. Hitting greens at a high rate and simply plotting along will work very well. Below are the leaders in Greens in Regulation up to this point.
- 77.31% Paul Casey
- 75% John Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, Branden Grace
- 74.54% Bryson DeChambeau
- 74.07% Richard Bland, Brooks Koepka
LIV Golf Miami Picks
Bryson DeChambeau +1100
Bryson DeChambeau is one of two players who check both boxes from above, which are clearly key stats to succeed at the Blue Monster. He is currently in great form as well as his last three starts have resulted in a tie for ninth, solo fourth and a tie for sixth.
In his press conferences, DeChambeau has stated this his golf game has been feeling as good as it ever has. The SMU product is extremely excited for the majors and really believes he is in some of the best form of his life.
He is one of the golfers who truly cares about winning on LIV, even with more important events around the corner. I say this because golfers like Brooks Koepka or Dustin Johnson are singularly focused on the majors. DeChambeau is playing well and is yet to break through this season, but it is only a matter of time before he gets back into the winner's circle.
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Talor Gooch +1600
Welcome to narrative street. Talor Gooch does not break the top five in either of the key stats, but he is a complete player who can surely win. Gooch has spoken a lot about how the Masters Tournament did not invite certain LIV players, including himself.
I am envisioning Gooch making a statement with his golf this weekend. How hilarious would a Talor Gooch win be for him to boast on social media that this year's Masters deserves an asterisk because he is not there. I am aware that is crazy, but he is known to say some very wild things.
Outside of the narrative for this week, Gooch has been playing some very solid golf. Two of his last three starts resulted in finishes inside the top six, including a tie for second at LIV Las Vegas, and he currently ranks sixth in the LIV Golf standings. What he lacks in distance off the tee, he makes up in accuracy. Gooch ranks seventh in Driving Accuracy, which is important here as there is plenty of trouble lurking beyond the fairways at Doral.
He is also sixth in birdies, which is important because if he plays out of the fairway, which he will, he will have plenty of chances at birdie. 16-1 is a great number on a golfer who has three LIV Golf wins over his last 15 starts on this tour (along with two other top-two finishes in that span).
