Get ready for plenty of variance during the TaylorMade Driving Relief skins match.
Unpredictability occurs in any head-to-head match between professional golfers. It only manifests itself deeper when those golfers are split into teams. Throw in a wildly fickle scoring format and it becomes a total crapshoot.
For that reason, I'm on record as saying I prefer Rickie Fowler and Matthew Wolff at plus-money over Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson. No matter the sporting event, if it's a toss-up and I can get these kind of odds on an "underdog," I'll take 'em.
I can totally understand, though, if you choose not to wager your hard-earned money on a final result which can be fluky, considering the team with more skins could theoretically lose to the team with timelier skins.
That doesn't mean you shouldn't place any wagers at all.
There are still some intriguing props available for this one. Here are my three favorites:
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Fowler/Wolff lead after six holes (+120)
During separate interviews this past week, McIlroy revealed he won't start ramping up his game for tournaments until after this match, while Johnson admitted he hadn't played a single round of golf for two months until last Sunday.
Meanwhile, Fowler and Wolff should have better form and both have a bit of a chip on their shoulders after (rightfully) being installed as the underdog.
With only one par-5 in this opening stretch of holes (where Rory and DJ might hold an advantage), I like the Oklahoma State guys to get off to a stronger start than their higher-ranked opponents.
Any player to hole out from off the green: Yes (+110)
I'll admit it: This one feels like a bit of a sucker bet, but I've got some two-sided rationale behind it.
With heavy rain throughout the weekend, conditions should be softer than usual, meaning these players can take dead aim at the flagsticks more often. And if the course still plays fast and firm? Well, that just means fewer greens in regulations, which in turn means more opportunities to hole a wedge shot from just off the putting surface.
Besides, if you're going to invest four hours in watching this match Sunday afternoon, do you really want to sit there rooting against these players holing out from off the green? I didn't think so.
[Bet now at Parx, which is offering this prop at boosted odds: +200! PA only.]
Fairway in Regulation on Hole 1: McIlroy yes -225; Johnson yes -225; Fowler yes -250; Wolff yes -225
Want to jump out to an early lead in your account? Silly question, of course you do.
Earlier this week, I spoke with Brad Faxon, who's played somewhere in the range of 50-100 rounds at Seminole. Of the first hole, he said, "Like many typical [Donald] Ross courses, the first hole is fairly benign." I'm not sure these players will even need to hit driver off the tee; if not, there's an obvious edge to making this play.
Even if only three of the four find the short grass, a one-unit wager on all of them would still leave you on the plus side by .3 units. Really, though, I think you've got a great chance of going 4-for-4.
