2025 The American Express Picks, Predictions, Odds | Outright Winners to Bet, Including Wyndham Clark, More

2025 The American Express Picks, Predictions, Odds | Outright Winners to Bet, Including Wyndham Clark, More article feature image
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Pictured: Wyndham Clark. Photo by Sarah Stier.

2025 The American Express Odds

GolferOdds
Justin Thomas+1200
Sungjae Im+1400
Sam Burns+1600
Patrick Cantlay+1800
Tony Finau+2200
Tom Kim+2800
Max Greyserman+3000
Kurt Kitayama+3000
Wyndham Clark+3000
Si Woo Kim+3500
Cameron Young+3500
Davis Thompson+3500
Harry Hall+4000
Nick Dunlap+5000
J.T. Poston+5000
Will Zalatoris+5000
Sepp Straka+5500
Ben Griffin+5500
Patrick Fishburn+5500
Nicolas Echavarria+5500
J.J. Spaun+5500
Brian Harman+6000
Eric Cole+6000
Tom Hoge+6000
Mac Meissner+6500
Keith Mitchell+6500
Jason Day+6500
Cameron Davis+7000
Andrew Novak+7000
Adam Hadwin+7000
Jhonattan Vegas+7000
Beau Hossler+7500
Michael Thorbjornsen+7500
Lee Hodges+7500
Daniel Berger+7500
Christiaan Bezuidenhuot+7500
Rickie Fowler+8000
Patrick Rodgers+8000
Nick Taylor+8000
Lucas Glover+8000
Kevin Yu+8000
Samuel Stevens+9000
Rico Hoey+9000
Billy Horschel+9000
Alex Smalley+9000
Michael Kim+9000
Mark ubbard+9000
Jesper Svensson+9000
Doug Ghim+9000
Chan Kim+10000
Mackenzie Hughes+10000
Harris English+10000
Erik Van Rooyen+10000
Chris Kirk+10000
Andrew Putnam+11000
Max McGreevy+11000
Joe Highsmith+11000
Taylor Moore+11000
Charley Hoffman+12000
Chandler Phillips+12000
Antoine Rozner+12000
Adam Svensson+12000
Matt Kuchar+12000
Kevin Roy+12000
Justin Lower+12000
Jackson Suber+12000
Henrik Norlander+12000
Frankie Capan+12000
Takumi Kanaya+15000
Ryan Gerard+15000
Matthias Schmid+15000
Jacob Bridgeman+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Carson Young+17000
Ben Silverman+17000
Adam Schenk+17000
Matt McCarty+17000
Greyson Sigg+17000
Zach Johnson+17000
Wesley Bryan+17000
Victor Perez+17000
Sam Ryder+20000
Ryo Hisatsune+20000
Paul Peterson+20000
Patton Kizzire+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Aldrich Potgieter+20000
Lanto Griffin+20000
K.H. Lee+20000
Vince Whaley+20000
Chris Gotterup+20000
Thomas Rosenmueller+20000
Brian Campbell+25000
Quade Cummins+25000
Ben Martin+25000
Alejandro Tosti+25000
Nate Lashley+25000
Matteo Manassero+25000
Luke List+25000
Joel Dahmen+25000
Jake Knapp+25000
Taylor Montgomery+30000
Steven Fisk+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Brendon Todd+30000
Rikuya Hoshino+30000
Ricky Castillo+30000
Ben Kohles+30000
Kristoffer Ventura+30000
Jeremy Paul+30000
Isaiah Salinda+30000
William Mouw+30000
David Lipsky+30000
Trevor Cone+30000
Kevin Streelman+35000
Harry Higgs+35000
Vincent Norrman+35000
Chesson Hadley+40000
Taylor Dickson+40000
Chad Ramey+40000
Braden Thornberry+40000
Blades Brown+40000
Trey Mullinnx+40000
Tim Widing+40000
Norman Xiong+50000
Francesco Molinari+50000
Will Gordon+50000
Danny Walker+50000
Noah Goodwin+60000
David Skinns+60000
Zac Blair+60000
Sami Valimaki+70000
Brandt Snedeker+70000
Rafael Campos+70000
Matthew Riedel+70000
Kevin Velo+70000
Hayden Buckley+70000
Davis Riley+70000
Danny Willett+70000
Cristobal Del Solar+70000
Chez Reavie+70000
Ryan Palmer+100000
Bill Haas+100000
Mason Andersen+100000
John Pak+100000
Bronson Burgoon+150000
Aaron Baddeley+150000
Will Chandler+150000
Peter Malnati+200000
Kevin Kisner+200000
Jason Dufner+200000
Camilo Villegas+250000
Anders Albertson+250000
Philip Knowles+250000
Kaito Onishi+250000
Kyle Mendoza+500000
Odds via DraftKings and as of Thursday morning We have yet to hit a winner in 2025, but we've had golfers in the mix in each of the first two events. When it comes to outright betting, all you can ask for is having someone in the mix on Sunday. If you are new to golf betting, be prepared for some wild swings, especially if you are only betting outrights. One or two events can make an entire year profitable. Stay the course and never over-extend your bankroll. After a two-event stretch in Hawaii, the PGA TOUR heads to California for The American Express. This is the first pro-am event of the year. There will be 156 professionals and 156 amateurs teeing it up this week. Naturally, pace of play is always a major issue at this event. The good news is that the event is played on three different courses, so they should be able to finish each round before they run out of daylight. The bad news is that we only get Shot Tracker on one of the courses. With three courses in play, the cut won't be made until after the third round. The three courses are the Pete Dye Stadium Course (host course), the La Quinta Country Club and the Nicklaus Tournament Course. All three courses are Par 72s that measure less than 7,300 yards. They are all extremely easy (usually in the bottom 10 in difficulty on TOUR each year), so there's not a major edge round-to-round. The name of the game this week is patience and birdie-making.

Key Statistics for The American Express

  • Birdie or Better %
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Strokes Gained on Easy Courses
  • Strokes Gained in California

2025 The American Express Picks, Predictions

Wyndham Clark +3000 (DraftKings)

While I don't love the recent form or course fit for Clark as much as I do for Sungjae Im or Sam Burns, the number on Clark is more than double that of the other two. Over the past two years, Clark has more wins on TOUR than Im and Burns. I'll take the longer odds given the fact that Clark knows how to win when in contention. In his lone appearance this year, he finished T15 at The Sentry while gaining 3.7 strokes off the tee. His two biggest strengths last season were iron play and putting, so it's encouraging to see him have a strong week off the tee in Hawaii. He has an excellent track record in California and has two top 20s at this event in four starts.

Eric Cole +5500 (FanDuel)

Mark my words — Cole is going to pick up his first PGA TOUR win this season. While the competition is much different, Cole has won 56 times on the Minor League Golf Tour. He knows how to win golf events, he just needs to get it done on the biggest stage. He certainly knows how to get in the mix as he has seven career top-five finishes. He finished T5 last week at the Sony Open where he gained 5.8 strokes on approach and 5.2 strokes putting. He's one of the best in the field in strokes gained per round on easy courses and is 2-for-2 at this event in his career with a T21 finish last season.

Ben Griffin +6000 (bet365)

Much like Cole, 2025 seems like a great year for Griffin to pick up his first PGA TOUR win. He's been playing some great golf over the past six months and has racked up nine top-10 finishes in his short career on TOUR. He played in most of the events during the fall and finished in the top 25 in the majority of them. His T45 finish last week doesn't jump off the page, but he had the lead for most of the first round. A cold putter held him back from a higher finish. He tends to play his best in birdie-fests because he's an elite putter. He's 2-for-2 at this event in his career with a T9 finish last year.

Keith Mitchell +9000 (bet365)

Mitchell is one of the streakiest golfers on TOUR. When he's in good form, he'll be priced at +3000 to win in events like this. Thanks to four straight missed cuts in the fall, he's priced all the way down at +9000. He's a long shot, but I love the odds for a player of his caliber. He made the cut last week at the Sony Open and gained four strokes off the tee and 1.6 strokes on the greens. That's a recipe for success this week, as there are so many par-5s to feast on. Mitchell has an elite track record in California and two top 25s at this event in the past two years.

This would be a great week to hit a winner, as most of the bets are long shots. Good luck!
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