We finally got our first true longshot winner since the hiatus this past weekend when Michael Thompson cashed at +12500 ($10 bet won $1,250) at the 3M Open.
That field looked a lot different from this one, but with no cut and some intriguing names in the triple-digits there's a chance that we could see another dark horse flip the script at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational this week.
Mother Nature is also expected to play a big role over the four-day event and ugly weather is usually good news for longshot bettors as it levels the playing field a little bit.
Here are our favorite sleeper bets at TPC Southwind:
Jason Sobel
Matt Wallace (+15000)
Expect Wallace to be a popular play on the heels of his T-4 finish at the Memorial two weeks ago. He clearly plays well when conditions are tougher and the wind is blowing, which could be the case this week.
He’s now played a half-dozen U.S.-based events since the restart and his results are largely improving, which suggests an increasing comfort level. A share of 27th place at this event last year doesn’t scream at us to back him, but a third-round 65 proves that he owns the ability to post a low one here.
Even if you’re skittish to play him outright, he’s a nice top-10 play at 9/1.
[Bet now at DraftKings. CO, NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]
Josh Perry
Matt Wallace (+15000)
Wallace has put together a string of good results and he's shown the ability to contend in strong fields before, so I think he's worth a punt at this number.
The Englishman will need to sharpen his approach this week to contend, but his tee-ball and short game have both looked great recently.
[Bet now at DraftKings. CO, NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]
Bryan Mears
Robert MacIntyre +22500
I guess I have a type this week in young Euro golfers. MacIntyre is a 23-year-old from Scotland who played collegiately at McNeese State and currently plays on the Euro Tour.
He’s definitely not at the level of Viktor Hovland or Collin Morikawa, but the kid clearly has game and showed it last year with a sixth at the Open Championship in a field nearly identical to this one.
I actually like his fit at this course: He can brave the elements, and he’s fairly long for the Euro Tour, which will be necessary to keep up with this field.
The two big concerns with him are his current form, as he hasn’t played since the COVID-19 layoff, and his accuracy off the tee. But if you’re looking for a dart in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker that a lot of casual golfers haven’t heard of, MacIntyre has intriguing upside.
[Bet now at DraftKings. CO, NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]
Collin Wilson
Max Homa +15000
Homa is definitely interesting to me in the wind after what he showed during the third round of the blustery Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 29-year-old posted the low score in windy conditions that day and I think he's got a chance of contending in this field if Mother Nature does play a big role.
Homa also seemed to figure things out during his third-place finish at the 3M Open last week. That was an encouraging performance from Homa, who posted great ball-striking and approach metrics, after three straight missed cuts.
