National Lacrosse League Week 11 continues with four Saturday matchups, though I’m eyeing two games in particular and have bets on a total, moneyline and two player props. Let’s take a look at my four favorite bets to wrap up NLL Week 11.
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Panther City Lacrosse Club (-2.5) vs. Vancouver Warriors
| Panther City Odds | -220 |
| Vancouver Odds | +190 |
| Total | 24.5 |
| Time | Saturday, 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
Panther City and Vancouver face off again after their initial meeting just two weeks ago — a 20-7 Panther City victory. Panther City enters the rematch as 2.5-point favorites and are hosting the Warriors this time around.
Since their last meeting, the Warriors have lost forwards Logan Schuss to injury and Mitch Jones via a trade with Philadelphia. Their current cast on offense only managed to put up eight points last week, but the defense looked slightly improved with Steph Charbonneua joining the unit and rookie goaltender Aden Walsh starting to look a bit more comfortable in net. If Walsh plays, I expect a better showing than what we saw two weeks ago.
However, it’s possible — and probably even more likely — the Warriors go with an upgrade in net and start the recently-signed Aaron Bold on Saturday. If Bold plays, we should expect an even better defensive performance, though it may not directly translate to a win.
As for Panther City, while they still have plenty of offensive weapons, both Tony Malcolm and Phil Caputo are listed as questionable and I think it’d be foolish to expect another 20-point performance from a team that hasn’t topped 13 goals in any other contest.
Additionally, Panther City’s defense has played well this year in front of Nick Damude, who’s stopped 80% of the shots he’s faced and ranks fourth in goals against average with 9.69 goals allowed per game. I expect this game to see a lot less goals than two weeks ago and think it’s a great time to play the under on a high total. Bet under 24.5 (-110 on Caesars.)
Pick: Under 24.5
Calgary Roughnecks (-1.5) vs. Colorado Mammoth
| Calgary Odds | -122 |
| Colorado Odds | +100 |
| Total | 23.5 |
| Time | Saturday, 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via FanDuel.
The Calgary Roughnecks take on the Colorado Mammoth on Saturday night, less than 24 hours after a massive win over the Saskatchewan Rush. Calgary has proven it belongs firmly in the West Conference race and has now notched wins over Western foes in San Diego and Saskatchewan. Now the Roughnecks have their sights on a Colorado team that narrowly beat them earlier this season.
Luckily for the Mammoth, they’ll get to face a tired Calgary team in what could be considered a must-win game for them, even with half the season left. Last week, Colorado dropped its second game of the weekend and fell victim to the NLL short rest trend. I’ve referenced this trend a handful of times this year already and I’m going to do it again.
Teams that are playing their second game of the weekend against a fresh opponent are 5-13 outright and 4-14 against the spread. Colorado was not only a victim of this trend last week, it also benefited from it earlier in the season when it defeated Panther City in its second game of the weekend. While I was hoping for a slightly better price on Colorado, I still think it's worth betting at +100 on FanDuel.
I also like a player prop in this game. Connor Robinson has been averaging 4.5 points per game since Rhys Duch joined the line up, alleviating some of the attention on Robinson. Robinson has also scored four or more goals in three of his past five games, including five goals and an assist in these teams’ previous meeting. I think Robinson finds the back of the net a lot tonight and I like betting the over on both his goals (2.5 at -120) and points (4.5 at -113) on FanDuel.
Pick: Mammoth ML, Connor Robinson Over 2.5 Goals, Connor Robinson Over 4.5 Points
