The National Lacrosse League Western Conference Finals conclude on Saturday night with a trip to the NLL Finals on the line.
Will the Calgary Roughnecks make their second finals appearance in the past three seasons, or will the defending champion Colorado Mammoth return for a rematch of the 2022 NLL Finals? Let’s take a look at the betting angle for Game 3.
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Calgary Roughnecks (-1.5) vs. Colorado Mammoth
| Calgary Odds | -150 |
| Colorado Odds | +122 |
| Total | 22.5 |
| Time | Saturday, 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via FanDuel
The Calgary Roughnecks are once again a 1.5-point favorite over the Colorado Mammoth despite failing to cover this number in both games. The total is set at 22.5 at most sportsbooks once again.
The Roughnecks bounced back in Game 2 (again, still failing to cover the 1.5-point spread) and managed to limit the Mammoth’s power play chances that doomed them in Game 1.
Still, no team has gone on a run bigger than three straight goals this series, and the margin between these teams is razor-thin. I’d lean Calgary to win and cover in this one but would rather play three player props than take a side.
While Jesse King and MVP finalist Christian Del Bianco are Calgary’s best two players, no player has had a greater impact on this team than Tyler Pace. Due to border travel issues, Pace has been absent in a recent string of games that have occurred in the U.S.
Yet, his presence in the lineup has been a game-changer for the Roughnecks, and that was evident in his seven-point performance in Game 2. Pace could easily have been the team’s leading scorer had he appeared in every game, and I’m looking to bet him to go over both his points and goals props.
Pace’s points prop is currently at 5.5, and he’s gone over this mark in 10 of his 16 games this season. While the Mammoth will throw everything they have at Calgary on Saturday night, I think Pace will make a big impact on the stat sheet like in Game 2. I recommend betting him to go over 5.5 points at +108 at FanDuel.
We cashed in on Tyler Pace over 1.5 goals in Calgary’s quarterfinals matchup with Panther City, and while the prop wasn’t on the board in Game 2, Pace easily hit the over in his first appearance in this series.
Pace has scored at least a pair of goals in 11 of his 16 games this season. The over on this prop opened at -166 at FanDuel, and while it has moved to -174, the true odds for him to go over are -220. We’re going back to ol’ reliable — juice be damned — and betting Pace to go over 1.5 goals.
The final prop I like in this game is on the Colorado side, and that’s Zed Williams’ points prop.
Williams is another key player in this matchup, but his points prop is a little too high for my liking, especially when facing the best goalie this season in Del Bianco. Williams has gone over 4.5 points in just seven of his 20 games this season, and while he’s come close, he’s failed to go over that mark in all four games against Calgary this year.
Bet Williams to stay under 4.5 points once again at -125 at FanDuel.
Picks: Tyler Pace Over 5.5 Points · Tyler Pace Over 1.5 Goals · Zed Williams Under 4.5 Points
