The final week of the 2022 Premier Lacrosse League regular season concludes with two Sunday afternoon matchups. Both Cannons and Chaos will fight for their playoff lives and will have to do so against Whipsnakes and Atlas, two of the favorites to win the 2022 PLL Championship. Let’s take a look at both Sunday games and find the betting value.
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Whipsnakes (-2.5) vs. Cannons
| Whipsnakes Odds | -300 |
| Cannons Odds | +240 |
| Total | 23.5 |
| Time | Sunday, 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
The first Sunday game features the 8-1 Whipsnakes — who have the top seed and a first-round bye locked up — and the 1-8 Cannons, who are seeking their first win since Week 1, as well as a potential playoff berth. Not only do the Cannons need a win against the top team in the league, but they also need Chaos to lose by two goals or more to sneak into the playoffs.
The Cannons opened up as 2.5-point underdogs at most sportsbooks, but Barstool bettors who moved quickly were able to grab Cannons +3.5 at -113 for several hours before the line moved. It was the first 3.5 that PLL bettors had seen since the 2020 season when betting on the PLL was first introduced. In those games, 3.5-point favorites were 1-2. However, the only team to cover that spread is, you guessed it, the Whipsnakes.
While 2.5-point underdogs have been extremely profitable, covering at an absurd 66.7% rate since the 2021 season, I can’t recommend betting Cannons +2.5 even at -105. According to the Bet On Lacrosse Report, the Cannons are 1-2 as 2.5-point underdogs this season and are 4-5 against the spread overall. While the Whipsnakes have nothing to play for, head coach Jim Stagnitta has made it clear he intends to have his starters play.
Instead, I’m backing the Cannons in another way and betting a player prop and looking toward the total of 24.5.
Games featuring the Cannons have averaged a combined 25.6 goals per game. The only two times a Cannons game failed to go over 23.5 goals was in two meetings with a Chrome defense that ranks second-best in the PLL. This week, they’ll have to face the top defense in the league, which is led by MVP candidate Kyle Bernlohr. This isn’t the most favorable matchup for a team fighting for its life, but the Whips defense has shown some weak spots on the low wings, which is where Lyle Thompson and the Cannons’ offense have the most success.
Rather than betting the Cannons to cover, I recommend betting Thompson’s goal prop and the total in this game. The Whipsnakes offense is going to put up points against a Cannons defense that has allowed a league high 14.3 goals per game. I think the Cannons can also do their part and push this total over 23.5 goals at -115 on BetMGM.
Pick: Over 23.5 Goals
Atlas (-1.5) vs. Chaos
| Atlas Odds | -175 |
| Chaos Odds | +140 |
| Total | 24.5 |
| Time | Sunday, 5:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via DraftKings.
Atlas and Chaos end the final weekend of the 2022 PLL regular season with a game that could determine the final PLL playoff spot. Since the Chaos could know whether they’ve locked up a playoff spot before game time, I’m hesitant to pick a side in this game and the total is a bit too high at 24.5.
Instead of picking a side or playing the total, I’m playing a prop. I’m eyeing the combined two-pointers total, which is set at 1.5 on DraftKings. While the Chaos may have only recorded four two-pointers this season, they are constantly looking to let it rip from long range in transition. Additionally, Atlas starting goalie Jack Concannon struggles at saving shots from beyond the arc and has allowed the most two-pointers this season (10).
On the flipside, the Atlas lead the league in two-pointers (12) and are the only team to average more than one two-pointer per game this season. Atlas is filled with players who are a threat to score from range and should have plenty of opportunities against a defense that has given up the second-highest number of two-pointers. Look for names like Bryan Costabile, Cade Van Raaphorst, Danny Logan, Koby Smith, CJ Costabile, Troy Reh and Mac O’Keefe to all be hunting two-pointers on Sunday. Bet the two-pointers prop in this game to go over 1.5 at -125 on DraftKings.
Pick: Over 1.5 Two-Point Goals
