The Premier Lacrosse League travels to Denver this weekend with Friday featuring the Whipsnakes taking on Chaos and first-placed Archers facing the last-placed Chrome. Let's take a look at my favorite bets for Friday.
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Whipsnakes LC vs. Chaos LC (-1.5)
Whipsnakes Odds | -110 |
Chaos Odds | -130 |
Total | 24.5 |
Time | Friday · 8 p.m. ET |
TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via bet365
The Whipsnakes and Chaos faceoff just two weeks after their first meeting of the season. While Whipsnakes are favorites at mostly every sportsbook, bet365 has them as 1.5-point underdogs and the Chaos as the favorites, despite the Whipsnakes' one-goal win over Chaos two weeks ago.
Chaos struggled to defend the Whipsnakes ball movement in their last meeting and relied heavily on goalie Blaze Riorden to bail them out. One week later, it was the same story for the Chaos as Redwoods picked them apart for the majority of the game.
Chaos managed to secure the win thanks to a 17-save game by Blaze Riorden, strong performance from Nick Rowlett at the faceoff and two late two-point goals. I don’t want to say they “escaped” with a win, but it wasn’t necessarily their best showing on defense.
Chaos will also be without Josh Byrne for the second-straight week after he exited their last meeting with the Whipsnakes with a rib injury. Chris Cloutier played well in relief last week, but the loss of Byrne is still an impactful one.
Brendan Krebs appeared to settle in during his first start against Chaos and followed that up by allowing only five goals to Chrome, stopping 72% of the shots he faced for 13 saves in his second career start.
The Whipsnakes are dangerous at full strength, and I think they’ll escape with an even bigger victory against Chaos this weekend. Bet Whipsnakes on the moneyline at -110 on bet365, and since I think Whipsnakes are rightfully favored on other sportsbooks, go ahead and add a half unit on Whipsnakes -1.5 at +125 on BetRivers as well.
I also like betting Will Manny’s goals prop again this week. We cashed in on Will Manny’s goals and points prop last week and the sportsbooks rewarded us with the same odds to bet him to go over 1.5 goals again this weekend. Manny has had a pair of goals in four of seven games this season, including the Whipsnakes’ last meeting with Chaos.
Chaos put a short-stick defender on Manny last game and he made them pay. While we could see some adjustments from Chaos for this game, the odds are good that elusive Manny manages to get plenty of scoring opportunities on Friday night. Bet Manny to go over 1.5 goals (+108 on FanDuel.)
Finally, I’m going back to the Tucker Dordevic well this week, even if it came up dry for us last weekend. After Dordevic’s first scoreless week, the over on his points prop of 2.5 has gone from -166 to +126.
Dordevic is usually a volume shooter, but these past two games he has played a bit more reserved and hasn’t forced anything — he’s still playing well for the Whips even if it hasn’t shown on the stat sheet through his last two games. I think he manages to make more of an impact in the scoring column this weekend against a Chaos defense that has struggled these past two weeks by their standards.
Dordevic’s shooting stroke is also extremely deceptive and managed to fool Blaze Riorden for a goal in their last meeting. I thought last week was the “buy low” spot, but it may actually be this week.
Bet Dordevic to surpass 1.5 goals (-125 on FanDuel) and 2.5 points (+126 on FanDuel.) And if you haven’t bet anyone to win PLL Rookie of the Year yet, go ahead and bet Dordevic to win the award at -140 on DraftKings while his price is still cheap.
Archers LC (-2.5) vs. Chrome LC
Archers Odds | -250 |
Chrome Odds | +198 |
Total | 22.5 |
Time | Friday · 10:30 p.m. ET |
TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via FanDuel
The 6-1 Archers take on the 1-6 Chrome on Friday and we get our first 2.5-point spread since Week 1. While 2.5-point underdogs have been historically profitable, covering in 12 of 17 games since 2021, the Archers already covered as 2.5-point favorites earlier this season.
However, Chrome are 3-0 straight up and against the spread when getting +2.5 since 2021, including a win over Archers according to the Bet On Lacrosse Report.
Chrome’s offense has been very hard to watch this year. They have talent on attack and at the midfield, but poor shot clock management and slow ball movement has plagued them week by week — and doesn’t appear to be improving.
I think faceoff specialist Connor Farrell rejoining the lineup will actually help Chrome — he got the ball to the offense with plenty of time when they last played Archers, but Chrome struggled to capitalize and ran into a hot goalie in Brett Dobson. Yet, I doubt any potential success at the faceoff will help make enough of an impact for Chrome.
That said, this price is just too high to bet Archers to cover a 2.5-point spread in a potential letdown spot. Chrome’s defense is still allowing the third fewest goals per game at 11.7 and could stifle this Archers offense much more than Atlas and Waterdogs did the past few weeks.
Even if the Chrome offense does its part their part, I still think Archers will win, but there are better ways to bet them than betting them on the moneyline or spread.
The first way I recommend betting the Archers is by playing Tom Schreiber’s points prop of 3.5. Schreiber needed overtime to reach four points last weekend, but he’s the heartbeat of this Archers offense and is going to continue to get plenty of opportunities to assist or score.
The MVP candidate has recorded four points or more in four of seven games this season, including a six-point performance against Chrome in Week 2. His vision should allow him to feed his teammates against a Chrome defense that's biggest weakness has been giving up assisted goals. Bet Schreiber to surpass 3.5 points (-113 on FanDuel.)
I also think Archers will record more saves than Chrome. In their last meeting, Dobson made 18 saves to Chrome netminder Sean Sconone’s nine saves. While I don’t think it will be as lopsided as last game, I do think you’ll still see Chrome forced to take low-quality shots following faceoffs and late in the shot clock, providing Dobson with plenty of opportunities to make saves.
Sconone will have to face the PLL’s second-most efficient settled offense, scoring on 30.5% of possessions and 28.1% of their shots. Meanwhile, Chrome has the least efficient offense and is shooting just 21.8%. Bet Archers to record the most saves at +100 on DraftKings.
Picks: Tom Schreiber Over 3.5 Points, Archers to Have Most Saves